NWS Forecast
Mon, 10-Dec-2018 6:38
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Sunny
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Rain And Snow
Chance Rain And Snow
Lo 14 °FHi 32 °FLo 22 °FHi 30 °FLo 15 °FHi 31 °FLo 24 °FHi 40 °FLo 35 °F
 
OUR Forecast
16:00
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Thursday

Snow
Snow
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 19°High: 32°Low: 24°High: 32°Low: 22°High: 29°Low: 24°High: 38°Low: 31°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-10-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-18 22   22 31   31 18   19 30   32 19   24 28   33 11   23 30   34
12-09-18 15 18.4 21 32 33.1 31 19   22 30   31 21   20 30   33 18   25 29   30
12-08-18 10 14.2 15 26 24.9 26 17 18.4 20 31 33.1 31 21   23 30   32 13   24 27   33
12-07-18 20 23.5 21 25 24.8 24 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 18 30 33.1 31 18   23 31   32
12-06-18 20 22.1 23 32 34.1 32 22 23.5 23 26 24.8 26 11 14.2 14 25 24.9 26 18 18.4 18 31 33.1 28
12-05-18 16 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 19 22.1 23 32 34.1 33 21 23.5 22 24 24.8 24 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 25
12-04-18 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 29 16 18.0 21 30 33.3 33 20 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 19 25 24.8 22
12-03-18 34 34.2 36 41 42.9 43 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 18 18.0 21 31 33.3 32 22 22.1 24 33 34.1 32
12-02-18 31 30.7 32 44 37.3 45 38 34.2 41 43 42.9 44 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 20 18.0 23 30 33.3 33
12-01-18 27 30.3 27 35 39.9 36 32 30.7 32 44 37.3 44 38 34.2 38 43 42.9 44 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 30
11-30-18 27 30.8 26 34 35.9 34 27 30.3 26 36 39.9 36 33 30.7 32 45 37.3 44 37 34.2 39 40 42.9 43
11-29-18 31 31.9 30 36 34.2 34 24 30.8 23 34 35.9 36 29 30.3 30 38 39.9 38 34 30.7 34 48 37.3 50
11-28-18 30 30.0 29 34 33.1 35 30 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 21 35 35.9 35 26 30.3 25 37 39.9 39
11-27-18 33 32.5 32 37 35.1 36 30 30.0 31 35 33.1 35 29 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 22 35 35.9 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 11 11 9 8 10 10 9 7 10 9 7 4 9 8
% Succ 84.6   92.3 84.6   84.6 75.0   66.7 83.3   83.3 81.8   63.6 90.9   81.8 70.0   40.0 90.0   80.0
Ave Error 2.0   2.0 2.3   2.1 2.8   2.8 2.2   1.9 2.6   2.6 1.9   2.0 2.7   4.0 2.8   2.8
Net Error -1.6   -0.1 -0.1   0.1 -1.6   0.1 -0.1   0.6 -1.2   -0.3 0.0   0.5 -0.7   0.2 0.1   0.5
Std Dev 1.4   1.1 1.7   1.9 1.7   2.3 1.6   1.7 1.0   1.3 2.0   1.7 1.3   1.5 1.1   1.4

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-10-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-18 32   34 15   20 31   33 22   24 31   34 13   24 31   34 25   27
12-09-18 32 33.1 33 19 22.6 24 30   32 18   20 30   33 21   23 29   33 13   21
12-08-18 26 24.9 26 18 18.4 19 31 33.1 31 22 22.6 23 31   32 16   24 29   33 17   25
12-07-18 25 14.2 26 8 24.8 15 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 16 30 33.1 30 20 22.6 23 30   32 12   22
12-06-18 33 34.1 34 18 23.5 23 26 14.2 26 7 24.8 14 25 24.9 26 17 18.4 18 29 33.1 29 19 22.6 23
12-05-18 30 33.3 30 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 22 27 14.2 25 11 24.8 15 26 24.9 25 17 18.4 21
12-04-18 30 26.4 30 17 18.0 21 29 33.3 33 20 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 22 23.5 19 25 14.2 23 9 24.8 14
12-03-18 42 42.9 43 27 22.2 26 30 26.4 28 17 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 22 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 20
12-02-18 43 37.3 42 40 34.2 39 41 42.9 43 24 22.2 27 28 26.4 31 20 18.0 22 31 33.3 32 23 22.1 24
12-01-18 34 39.9 39 32 30.7 34 44 37.3 45 39 34.2 40 43 42.9 47 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 19 18.0 22
11-30-18 34 35.9 38 26 30.3 25 35 39.9 36 32 30.7 32 45 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 41 42.9 46 22 22.2 25
11-29-18 36 34.2 36 25 30.8 25 34 35.9 36 28 30.3 30 37 39.9 38 33 30.7 34 48 37.3 47 36 34.2 37
11-28-18 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 25 30.8 22 34 35.9 35 28 30.3 28 37 39.9 39 34 30.7 36
11-27-18 37 35.1 36 30 30.0 31 33 33.1 35 29 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 26 30.8 21 35 35.9 37 26 30.3 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 7 7 8 9 9 7 9 7 8 6 7 6 8 7
% Succ 76.9   84.6 53.8   53.8 66.7   75.0 75.0   58.3 81.8   63.6 72.7   54.5 70.0   60.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.4 4.1   3.4 3.3   2.8 3.9   3.7 3.2   3.3 3.3   3.7 3.8   3.5 3.5   3.6
Net Error 0.9   1.7 -2.3   -0.7 0.6   1.4 -2.5   -1.1 0.9   1.5 -1.5   -1.1 1.2   2.0 -2.1   0.3
Std Dev 2.8   3.0 4.0   2.6 2.9   3.3 4.4   2.9 3.6   2.6 3.5   2.5 2.6   2.3 4.1   2.6

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-10-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-10-18 31   31 14   19 32   32 22   24 31   33 13   22 31   29 25   24
12-09-18 34 33.1 33 21 22.6 23 30   31 18   20 30   33 21   23 29   33 13   21
12-08-18 26 24.9 25 18 18.4 17 31 33.1 31 22 22.6 22 31   31 16   22 29   32 17   24
12-07-18 24 24.8 25 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 20 30 33.1 31 20 22.6 23 30   30 12   20
12-06-18 33 34.1 35 18 23.5 23 26 24.8 25 7 14.2 15 25 24.9 27 17 18.4 21 29 33.1 30 19 22.6 23
12-05-18 31 33.3 32 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 22 27 24.8 25 11 14.2 14 26 24.9 25 17 18.4 21
12-04-18 30 26.4 26 16 18.0 18 29 33.3 31 20 22.1 22 33 34.1 32 22 23.5 19 25 24.8 23 9 14.2 15
12-03-18 44 42.9 43 27 22.2 26 30 26.4 29 17 18.0 20 30 33.3 31 22 22.1 23 33 34.1 33 21 23.5 19
12-02-18 42 37.3 39 40 34.2 38 41 42.9 45 24 22.2 26 28 26.4 30 20 18.0 22 31 33.3 32 23 22.1 25
12-01-18 34 39.9 36 32 30.7 30 44 37.3 42 39 34.2 39 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 19 18.0 22
11-30-18 35 35.9 34 26 30.3 25 35 39.9 36 33 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 41 42.9 46 22 22.2 25
11-29-18 36 34.2 35 25 30.8 23 34 35.9 35 28 30.3 25 37 39.9 37 33 30.7 33 48 37.3 47 36 34.2 37
11-28-18 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 29 34 34.2 35 25 30.8 23 34 35.9 36 28 30.3 30 37 39.9 39 34 30.7 35
11-27-18 36 35.1 35 30 30.0 30 33 33.1 35 29 31.9 27 34 34.2 34 26 30.8 21 35 35.9 36 26 30.3 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 7 9 9 10 9 7 10 10 9 7 8 8 8 7
% Succ 84.6   92.3 53.8   69.2 75.0   83.3 75.0   58.3 90.9   90.9 81.8   63.6 80.0   80.0 80.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.0   1.0 3.2   2.1 2.4   2.1 3.1   2.8 2.1   2.2 2.3   2.8 2.8   2.6 2.4   2.6
Net Error 0.3   -0.2 -1.4   -0.8 -0.3   0.3 -1.6   -0.6 -0.2   0.5 -0.5   0.1 0.1   0.9 -1.0   1.5
Std Dev 1.6   1.0 2.0   2.3 1.7   1.1 1.7   1.8 1.7   1.3 1.0   1.4 1.2   1.2 1.2   1.2

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-09-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-09-18 19   23 31   31 18   19 30   32 19   24 28   33 11   23 30   36
12-08-18 17 18.4 20 33 33.1 32 17   23 31   30 17   20 30   32 18   23 29   27
12-07-18 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 27 17 18.4 19 31 33.1 31 21   22 30   32 13   23 27   32
12-06-18 20 23.5 23 25 24.8 25 8 14.2 14 26 24.9 27 15 18.4 16 30 33.1 30 18   21 31   31
12-05-18 20 22.1 22 32 34.1 32 22 23.5 23 26 24.8 26 11 14.2 15 25 24.9 25 18 18.4 22 31 33.1 30
12-04-18 13 18.0 18 30 33.3 30 19 22.1 22 32 34.1 33 21 23.5 20 24 24.8 23 10 14.2 16 26 24.9 26
12-03-18 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 16 18.0 19 30 33.3 31 20 22.1 21 33 34.1 32 21 23.5 19 25 24.8 20
12-02-18 40 34.2 35 41 42.9 42 24 22.2 25 28 26.4 28 18 18.0 20 31 33.3 32 22 22.1 25 33 34.1 33
12-01-18 30 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 40 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 26 29 26.4 31 20 18.0 22 30 33.3 31
11-30-18 28 39.9 24 35 30.3 36 32 30.7 31 44 37.3 43 38 34.2 36 43 42.9 46 24 22.2 25 29 26.4 29
11-29-18 27 35.9 26 34 30.8 36 27 39.9 25 36 30.3 36 33 30.7 32 45 37.3 44 37 34.2 37 40 42.9 44
11-28-18 31 31.9 30 36 34.2 35 24 35.9 23 34 30.8 36 29 39.9 31 38 30.3 38 34 30.7 35 48 37.3 52
11-27-18 30 30.0 30 34 33.1 34 30 31.9 29 34 34.2 33 25 35.9 20 35 30.8 35 26 39.9 27 37 30.3 37
11-26-18 33 32.5 33 37 35.1 37 30 30.0 32 35 33.1 35 29 31.9 28 34 34.2 34 25 35.9 24 35 30.8 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 10 8 9 10 9 8 7 8 7 7 5 7 6
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   76.9 66.7   75.0 83.3   75.0 72.7   63.6 72.7   63.6 70.0   50.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.6   2.8 2.3   2.4 4.0   3.7 2.4   2.8 4.0   4.1 2.7   3.2 4.2   5.2 3.5   4.4
Net Error -2.3   -1.6 1.1   1.3 -2.8   -1.6 1.2   1.7 -2.5   -2.4 1.4   1.6 -2.2   -0.7 1.6   2.1
Std Dev 3.3   4.5 1.8   1.9 3.8   4.8 1.8   1.6 1.7   1.9 2.0   1.7 2.1   1.6 1.6   1.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.