NWS Forecast
Tue, 25-Sep-2018 2:31
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Areas Of Drizzle then Showers And Thunderstorms
Areas Of Drizzle then Showers And T-Storms
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Hi 59 °FLo 59 °F ↑Hi 75 °FLo 47 °FHi 64 °FLo 48 °FHi 70 °FLo 49 °FHi 69 °F
 
OUR Forecast
16:00
Tonight

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Wednesday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Friday

Fog
Fog
Friday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Saturday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Saturday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 55° High: 71°Low: 48°High: 65°Low: 49°High: 64°Low: 49°High: 57°Low: 39°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-25-18 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-25-18 49   48 61   57 60   56 74   71 48   48 64   65 48   49 69   65
09-24-18 45 45.8 45 63 61.4 64 50   50 63   60 62   59 71   72 50   50 64   63
09-23-18 42 42.5 44 66 66.8 67 44 45.8 45 64 61.4 65 49   49 63   59 60   58 71   72
09-22-18 52 55.0 57 60 62.2 64 41 42.5 47 66 66.8 66 43 45.8 45 64 61.4 64 49   47 64   54
09-21-18 60 60.4 60 75 73.5 74 55 55.0 56 63 62.2 62 44 42.5 46 64 66.8 66 44 45.8 44 63 61.4 64
09-20-18 54 50.5 53 69 68.0 70 60 60.4 59 77 73.5 74 56 55.0 60 64 62.2 64 46 42.5 48 65 66.8 64
09-19-18 57 63.3 63 71 73.6 74 52 50.5 53 68 68.0 72 60 60.4 56 81 73.5 73 56 55.0 61 65 62.2 66
09-18-18 65 64.9 65 77 79.9 78 58 63.3 60 71 73.6 73 51 50.5 53 69 68.0 72 61 60.4 62 77 73.5 78
09-17-18 63 62.5 65 77 78.9 80 64 64.9 67 75 79.9 77 58 63.3 61 70 73.6 71 51 50.5 53 70 68.0 67
09-16-18 58 61.8 65 81 84.0 81 61 62.5 62 76 78.9 75 65 64.9 64 74 79.9 73 58 63.3 59 69 73.6 70
09-15-18 61 61.3 64 80 81.3 80 63 61.8 63 81 84.0 82 60 62.5 64 77 78.9 75 66 64.9 68 72 79.9 73
09-14-18 62 62.1 64 78 75.9 77 63 61.3 65 80 81.3 82 62 61.8 63 81 84.0 81 61 62.5 63 79 78.9 74
09-13-18 63 64.9 63 78 77.4 79 63 62.1 64 79 75.9 76 61 61.3 63 79 81.3 81 62 61.8 62 80 84.0 81
09-12-18 61 58.1 58 73 71.9 75 63 64.9 63 77 77.4 79 63 62.1 63 78 75.9 76 63 61.3 61 79 81.3 79
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 13 13 13 11 10 11 10 10 9 9 8 9 7 7 6
% Succ 84.6   100.0 100.0   100.0 91.7   83.3 91.7   83.3 90.9   81.8 81.8   72.7 90.0   70.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   1.5 1.7   1.6 1.6   2.1 2.2   1.7 1.4   2.2 3.1   2.4 1.7   2.6 3.1   3.5
Net Error -0.8   1.0 -0.5   0.6 -0.7   0.8 -0.5   0.0 -0.6   0.7 -0.4   -0.9 0.0   1.3 -1.1   -1.4
Std Dev 1.8   1.0 0.7   0.8 1.2   1.2 1.3   1.3 1.4   1.3 1.8   1.7 1.4   1.6 0.9   0.9

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-25-18 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-25-18 59   56 59   55 75   71 47   47 64   64 48   49 70   61 49   50
09-24-18 63 61.4 65 50 47.3 50 61   57 59   56 73   72 49   48 65   63 50   49
09-23-18 66 66.8 65 42 45.8 44 64 61.4 64 50 47.3 49 62   59 61   58 72   73 52   49
09-22-18 60 62.2 64 40 42.5 47 66 66.8 67 43 45.8 45 63 61.4 65 48 47.3 49 63   58 59   57
09-21-18 74 73.5 78 55 55.0 57 62 62.2 62 41 42.5 43 63 66.8 65 44 45.8 43 63 61.4 65 50 47.3 46
09-20-18 69 68.0 69 60 60.4 55 77 73.5 73 56 55.0 58 64 62.2 62 45 42.5 48 64 66.8 66 45 45.8 44
09-19-18 71 73.6 75 52 50.5 53 68 68.0 72 60 60.4 57 81 73.5 74 56 55.0 60 65 62.2 66 47 42.5 46
09-18-18 78 79.9 76 58 63.3 58 71 73.6 71 51 50.5 51 69 68.0 71 61 60.4 61 77 73.5 79 55 55.0 61
09-17-18 78 78.9 80 65 64.9 67 76 79.9 79 58 63.3 60 71 73.6 72 51 50.5 51 69 68.0 71 61 60.4 59
09-16-18 83 84.0 81 60 62.5 64 76 78.9 78 66 64.9 67 75 79.9 78 58 63.3 60 71 73.6 73 50 50.5 52
09-15-18 81 81.3 80 62 61.8 61 82 84.0 82 60 62.5 61 76 78.9 76 65 64.9 68 72 79.9 71 61 63.3 51
09-14-18 78 75.9 76 63 61.3 64 80 81.3 81 63 61.8 63 81 84.0 82 61 62.5 62 78 78.9 74 65 64.9 66
09-13-18 78 77.4 79 64 62.1 63 78 75.9 78 63 61.3 60 79 81.3 81 64 61.8 61 80 84.0 81 60 62.5 59
09-12-18 73 71.9 76 63 64.9 63 77 77.4 79 64 62.1 62 78 75.9 77 63 61.3 58 79 81.3 79 63 61.8 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 13 10 11 10 11 11 11 12 8 11 10 9 8 6 9 8
% Succ 100.0   76.9 84.6   76.9 91.7   91.7 91.7   100.0 72.7   100.0 90.9   81.8 80.0   60.0 90.0   80.0
Ave Error 1.3   2.2 1.9   2.6 1.9   1.5 1.9   1.6 3.0   1.7 1.6   2.5 2.9   3.6 1.5   3.3
Net Error -0.2   0.7 -0.6   0.3 -0.5   0.3 -0.2   -0.1 -0.5   -0.2 0.1   0.5 -1.2   -0.5 0.3   -0.9
Std Dev 0.7   1.2 1.5   1.4 1.2   1.1 1.3   1.0 1.7   1.0 1.4   1.5 0.8   1.5 1.2   1.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 09-25-18 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-25-18 59   56 59   54 75   70 47   48 64   65 48   49 70   64 49   49
09-24-18 63 61.4 63 50 47.3 47 61   59 59   57 73   72 49   46 65   62 50   48
09-23-18 66 66.8 63 42 45.8 45 64 61.4 64 50 47.3 49 62   59 61   59 72   72 52   48
09-22-18 60 62.2 61 40 42.5 44 66 66.8 66 43 45.8 44 63 61.4 66 48 47.3 50 63   61 59   60
09-21-18 73 73.5 74 54 55.0 55 62 62.2 62 41 42.5 44 63 66.8 64 44 45.8 43 63 61.4 63 50 47.3 43
09-20-18 68 68.0 68 60 60.4 55 77 73.5 73 56 55.0 56 64 62.2 63 45 42.5 47 64 66.8 67 45 45.8 44
09-19-18 71 73.6 74 52 50.5 53 68 68.0 72 60 60.4 57 81 73.5 74 56 55.0 59 65 62.2 64 47 42.5 48
09-18-18 78 79.9 76 58 63.3 57 71 73.6 71 51 50.5 51 69 68.0 72 61 60.4 58 77 73.5 77 55 55.0 61
09-17-18 78 78.9 78 65 64.9 66 76 79.9 76 58 63.3 60 71 73.6 72 51 50.5 51 69 68.0 72 61 60.4 58
09-16-18 84 84.0 83 61 62.5 64 76 78.9 80 66 64.9 66 75 79.9 71 58 63.3 59 71 73.6 68 50 50.5 49
09-15-18 81 81.3 79 62 61.8 64 82 84.0 82 60 62.5 63 76 78.9 78 65 64.9 67 72 79.9 72 61 63.3 54
09-14-18 78 75.9 75 63 61.3 61 80 81.3 80 63 61.8 61 81 84.0 81 61 62.5 63 78 78.9 76 65 64.9 68
09-13-18 78 77.4 76 64 62.1 58 78 75.9 76 63 61.3 61 79 81.3 80 64 61.8 63 80 84.0 81 60 62.5 60
09-12-18 73 71.9 72 63 64.9 62 77 77.4 75 64 62.1 63 78 75.9 76 63 61.3 61 79 81.3 79 63 61.8 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 13 11 11 10 11 10 11 12 8 8 10 8 8 7 9 6
% Succ 100.0   84.6 84.6   76.9 91.7   83.3 91.7   100.0 72.7   72.7 90.9   72.7 80.0   70.0 90.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.1   1.4 1.9   2.2 1.9   1.8 1.9   1.4 3.0   2.6 1.6   2.3 2.9   3.3 1.5   3.7
Net Error -0.3   -1.0 -0.6   -0.9 -0.5   -0.5 -0.2   -0.2 -0.5   -0.8 0.1   0.5 -1.2   -1.1 0.3   -0.8
Std Dev 0.8   1.2 1.4   1.9 1.2   1.2 1.3   0.9 1.7   2.3 1.4   1.2 0.8   1.4 1.2   1.4

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 09-24-18 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-24-18 49   47 59   60 58   58 75   71 48   47 64   64 48   51 69   68
09-23-18 45 45.8 47 63 61.4 65 50   50 63   62 62   60 71   71 50   49 64   62
09-22-18 42 42.5 43 66 66.8 67 44 45.8 45 64 61.4 66 49   50 63   59 60   58 71   73
09-21-18 52 55.0 57 60 62.2 62 41 42.5 46 66 66.8 65 43 45.8 44 64 61.4 63 49   46 64   56
09-20-18 60 60.4 58 75 73.5 72 55 55.0 58 63 62.2 62 44 42.5 47 64 66.8 66 44 45.8 44 63 61.4 65
09-19-18 52 50.5 52 69 68.0 71 60 60.4 57 77 73.5 74 56 55.0 58 64 62.2 63 46 42.5 47 65 66.8 63
09-18-18 57 63.3 62 70 73.6 74 51 50.5 53 69 68.0 71 61 60.4 56 79 73.5 75 56 55.0 60 65 62.2 68
09-17-18 65 64.9 67 77 79.9 77 58 63.3 61 71 73.6 70 51 50.5 51 69 68.0 70 61 60.4 60 77 73.5 76
09-16-18 63 62.5 69 77 78.9 81 64 64.9 67 75 79.9 73 58 63.3 58 70 73.6 69 51 50.5 50 70 68.0 65
09-15-18 62 61.8 67 82 84.0 84 60 62.5 66 76 78.9 78 65 64.9 68 74 79.9 74 58 63.3 55 69 73.6 70
09-14-18 63 61.3 64 80 81.3 82 63 61.8 63 81 84.0 82 60 62.5 64 77 78.9 77 66 64.9 68 72 79.9 74
09-13-18 62 62.1 65 78 75.9 77 63 61.3 64 80 81.3 81 62 61.8 63 81 84.0 82 61 62.5 62 79 78.9 78
09-12-18 63 64.9 62 78 77.4 78 63 62.1 63 79 75.9 76 61 61.3 63 79 81.3 79 62 61.8 63 80 84.0 82
09-11-18 60 58.1 59 73 71.9 76 62 64.9 62 77 77.4 78 63 62.1 63 78 75.9 77 63 61.3 61 79 81.3 80
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 13 12 11 12 11 10 10 8 9 9 9 7 7 7
% Succ 92.3   84.6 100.0   92.3 91.7   100.0 91.7   83.3 90.9   72.7 81.8   81.8 90.0   70.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.5 1.7   1.6 1.6   2.4 2.2   2.0 1.4   2.5 3.0   2.2 1.7   2.6 3.1   3.2
Net Error -0.5   1.5 -0.5   0.9 -0.9   0.8 -0.4   -0.6 -0.6   0.4 -0.6   -1.0 0.0   0.2 -1.1   -0.9
Std Dev 1.6   1.6 0.8   1.2 1.3   0.8 1.2   1.9 1.4   1.4 1.4   1.5 1.4   2.3 0.9   0.9

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.