NWS Forecast
Fri, 12-Apr-2024 10:20
Tonight

Tonight: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Saturday

Saturday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Rain Showers Likely
Rain Showers Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Rain Showers Likely
Rain Showers Likely
Monday

Monday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Lo 38 °FHi 42 °FLo 35 °FHi 56 °FLo 42 °FHi 57 °FLo 38 °FHi 63 °FLo 42 °F
 
OUR Forecast
22:00
Rest of
tonight
Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Sunday
night
Rain likely
Rain likely
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 39°High: 42°Low: 38°High: 54°Low: 41°High: 49°Low: 36°High: 57°Low: 39°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am

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Updated: 04-12-24 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-12-24 62   62 38   40 43   42 36   38 54   55 40   41 60   52 39   37
04-11-24 63 63.4 59 55 55.4 54 64   61 38   39 43   41 37   37 55   47 43   41
04-10-24 60 60.9 62 48 47.2 51 65 63.4 57 55 55.4 56 64   60 39   39 45   42 38   36
04-09-24 70 73.3 71 48 48.9 49 57 60.9 60 49 47.2 48 59 63.4 58 54 55.4 53 62   64 40   39
04-08-24 60 61.9 61 43 43.7 39 69 73.3 68 47 48.9 46 58 60.9 52 47 47.2 46 59 63.4 54 51 55.4 53
04-07-24 52 56.7 54 30 33.4 32 59 61.9 59 40 43.7 43 66 73.3 67 44 48.9 47 57 60.9 51 46 47.2 45
04-06-24 43 45.2 44 30 37.2 33 51 56.7 51 28 33.4 31 58 61.9 58 37 43.7 38 64 73.3 65 41 48.9 43
04-05-24 39 37.5 39 32 35.1 32 42 45.2 41 30 37.2 32 48 56.7 46 28 33.4 29 58 61.9 57 38 43.7 37
04-04-24 36 35.5 36 29 30.2 27 39 37.5 38 32 35.1 32 43 45.2 40 31 37.2 32 48 56.7 43 28 33.4 28
04-02-24 44 41.1 45 33 35.5 35 38 35.5 38 28 30.2 32 35 37.5 37 28 35.1 30 40 45.2 39 33 37.2 33
04-01-24 51 56.9 55 35 35.5 36 44 41.1 48 34 35.5 37 38 35.5 40 31 30.2 31 36 37.5 36 29 35.1 30
03-31-24 45 48.8 49 35 31.0 33 45 56.9 50 35 35.5 40 45 41.1 44 35 35.5 35 35 35.5 38 35 30.2 30
03-30-24 46 46.7 48 31 36.8 33 47 48.8 46 31 31.0 33 47 56.9 46 35 35.5 36 43 41.1 45 33 35.5 33
03-29-24 44 43.5 45 29 32.4 30 50 46.7 48 33 36.8 31 46 48.8 48 30 31.0 32 50 56.9 55 36 35.5 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 11 10 9 8 6 8 9 5 3 6 7 3 3 3 5
% Succ 76.9   84.6 76.9   69.2 66.7   50.0 66.7   75.0 45.5   27.3 54.5   63.6 30.0   30.0 30.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.2   1.8 2.6   2.4 3.8   3.9 2.6   2.6 4.6   5.5 3.2   2.6 4.6   6.2 4.3   3.7
Net Error -1.4   -0.3 -1.9   -1.4 -1.8   -2.0 -2.3   -0.7 -3.5   -4.1 -3.0   -2.2 -4.2   -4.9 -3.2   -3.2
Std Dev 1.6   1.2 2.1   1.5 2.6   2.1 1.9   1.4 2.0   2.5 2.4   1.7 2.0   2.9 1.6   1.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 04-12-24 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-12-24 64   64 38   40 42   42 35   38 56   57 40   41 60   53 39   36
04-11-24 63 63.4 57 55 55.4 53 64   61 38   40 43   41 37   39 55   49 43   40
04-10-24 64 60.9 62 48 47.2 50 65 63.4 60 55 55.4 55 64   61 39   39 45   43 38   36
04-09-24 71 73.3 72 48 48.9 51 57 60.9 62 49 47.2 50 59 63.4 58 54 55.4 54 62   64 40   37
04-08-24 60 61.9 63 43 43.7 40 69 73.3 69 47 48.9 47 58 60.9 54 47 47.2 47 59 63.4 59 51 55.4 54
04-07-24 52 56.7 55 30 33.4 32 59 61.9 59 40 43.7 41 66 73.3 67 44 48.9 45 57 60.9 50 46 47.2 43
04-06-24 45 45.2 45 30 37.2 31 51 56.7 51 29 33.4 30 59 61.9 56 40 43.7 36 64 73.3 65 41 48.9 41
04-05-24 38 37.5 39 32 35.1 31 41 45.2 41 30 37.2 30 48 56.7 46 28 33.4 28 58 61.9 57 38 43.7 39
04-04-24 35 35.5 37 29 30.2 28 39 37.5 38 32 35.1 31 43 45.2 40 31 37.2 31 48 56.7 43 28 33.4 28
04-01-24 53 41.1 52 35 35.5 35 44 35.5 46 34 30.2 36 38 37.5 38 31 35.1 32 36 45.2 37 29 37.2 31
03-31-24 47 48.8 46 32 31.0 31 46 41.1 54 36 35.5 39 42 35.5 43 33 30.2 35 37 37.5 38 30 35.1 30
03-29-24 43 46.7 44 29 36.8 28 50 48.8 47 33 31.0 31 46 41.1 49 30 35.5 32 50 35.5 53 36 30.2 37
03-28-24 44 40.0 42 30 33.2 27 43 46.7 43 28 36.8 29 49 48.8 49 31 31.0 36 48 41.1 47 29 35.5 31
03-27-24 52 40.0 45 37 36.8 36 46 40.0 47 30 33.2 31 43 46.7 44 29 36.8 30 46 48.8 47 31 31.0 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 11 8 4 5 7 8 5 3 4 4 2 2 2 2
% Succ 61.5   76.9 84.6   61.5 33.3   41.7 58.3   66.7 45.5   27.3 36.4   36.4 20.0   20.0 20.0   20.0
Ave Error 3.6   2.9 2.3   3.2 4.0   4.8 3.4   3.5 4.0   5.4 3.8   4.4 6.4   7.6 5.0   4.7
Net Error 1.2   0.6 -2.0   -2.4 -0.1   0.5 -2.1   -1.5 -1.8   -2.5 -3.3   -2.6 -2.1   -2.8 -3.9   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.8 2.4   2.4 1.9   3.5 1.8   1.9 2.3   2.3 1.6   2.0 1.9   2.6 1.8   1.6

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 04-12-24 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-12-24 38   40 42   42 35   38 56   54 42   43 57   49 38   36 63   59
04-11-24 54 55.4 55 64 66.7 63 38   39 44   42 37   38 54   51 42   42 57   55
04-10-24 48 47.2 50 66 63.4 60 56 55.4 56 63 66.7 60 40   38 45   41 37   36 55   45
04-09-24 48 48.9 52 63 60.9 63 49 47.2 50 63 63.4 59 55 55.4 54 62 66.7 60 40   37 46   42
04-08-24 40 43.7 41 65 73.3 69 45 48.9 47 55 60.9 58 45 47.2 49 60 63.4 57 55 55.4 53 65 66.7 60
04-07-24 29 33.4 33 58 61.9 60 41 43.7 42 68 73.3 67 47 48.9 45 58 60.9 51 48 47.2 45 60 63.4 54
04-06-24 30 37.2 31 51 56.7 51 29 33.4 30 58 61.9 57 40 43.7 37 66 73.3 65 44 48.9 41 54 60.9 49
04-05-24 32 35.1 31 42 45.2 41 31 37.2 30 49 56.7 47 29 33.4 28 59 61.9 56 38 43.7 36 64 73.3 63
04-04-24 29 30.2 29 38 37.5 38 32 35.1 32 43 45.2 40 31 37.2 31 47 56.7 45 27 33.4 27 57 61.9 56
04-01-24 34 35.5 37 46 35.5 44 35 30.2 35 39 37.5 39 31 35.1 31 37 45.2 36 29 37.2 30 38 56.7 38
03-31-24 31 31.0 32 50 56.9 54 36 35.5 37 44 35.5 45 32 30.2 35 38 37.5 39 31 35.1 30 37 45.2 36
03-30-24 31 36.8 32 47 48.8 47 32 31.0 32 45 56.9 43 35 35.5 37 42 35.5 42 34 30.2 32 39 37.5 37
03-29-24 29 32.4 27 50 46.7 46 31 36.8 31 49 48.8 47 31 31.0 32 51 56.9 50 35 35.5 36 44 35.5 48
03-28-24 29 33.2 29 47 43.5 44 28 32.4 29 48 46.7 49 31 36.8 35 47 48.8 48 29 31.0 31 50 56.9 50
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 8 8 8 6 9 5 4 6 5 5 2 4 5 3 1
% Succ 61.5   61.5 61.5   61.5 50.0   75.0 41.7   33.3 54.5   45.5 45.5   18.2 40.0   50.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 2.9   2.9 4.2   3.1 3.3   3.1 4.4   5.8 2.8   3.5 4.9   6.7 3.7   4.1 7.0   9.2
Net Error -2.8   -1.6 -0.8   -1.3 -1.8   -1.3 -2.5   -3.5 -2.5   -1.9 -3.6   -5.3 -2.8   -3.7 -5.0   -6.7
Std Dev 2.0   1.8 2.7   2.1 1.7   1.7 3.1   3.2 1.5   1.7 2.5   2.6 2.3   2.2 4.3   3.4

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.