NWS Forecast
Wed, 25-May-2022 7:44
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Saturday

Saturday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And T-Storms Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Sunday

Sunday: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
Lo 53 °FHi 74 °FLo 60 °FHi 77 °FLo 60 °FHi 71 °FLo 53 °FHi 76 °FLo 57 °F
 
OUR Forecast
22:00
Rest of
tonight
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Friday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Saturday
night
Fog
Fog
Sunday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Sunday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Low: 59°High: 78°Low: 59°High: 70°Low: 59°High: 65°Low: 54°High: 75°Low: 55°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-25-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-22 51   52 74   77 50   60 73   78 58   63 76   70 62   60 70   67
05-24-22 45 48.0 46 75 68.8 73 55   53 75   72 55   53 75   76 60   57 75   77
05-23-22 49 47.9 50 66 66.2 68 43 48.0 49 70 68.8 73 51   55 72   68 52   51 73   74
05-22-22 66 58.3 63 83 84.4 90 50 47.9 57 65 66.2 66 44 48.0 52 71 68.8 70 49   55 71   72
05-21-22 63 58.2 60 90 79.5 89 66 58.3 64 87 84.4 86 50 47.9 55 67 66.2 64 46 48.0 48 71 68.8 68
05-20-22 47 44.3 45 78 79.5 78 63 58.2 58 90 79.5 87 66 58.3 58 87 84.4 85 53 47.9 55 67 66.2 64
05-19-22 48 47.1 45 64 62.5 60 49 44.3 50 82 79.5 79 66 58.2 61 90 79.5 85 65 58.3 60 81 84.4 86
05-18-22 42 43.5 45 63 62.3 66 48 47.1 50 64 62.5 65 46 44.3 52 82 79.5 80 63 58.2 59 89 79.5 79
05-17-22 50 49.1 49 65 60.2 66 35 43.5 49 65 62.3 68 45 47.1 50 65 62.5 67 45 44.3 50 85 79.5 78
05-16-22 57 58.7 59 76 76.5 83 49 49.1 57 61 60.2 65 43 43.5 49 62 62.3 64 43 47.1 51 70 62.5 64
05-15-22 62 59.2 60 75 77.4 78 59 58.7 63 75 76.5 81 48 49.1 56 61 60.2 62 44 43.5 47 61 62.3 62
05-14-22 60 59.6 60 81 81.9 86 61 59.2 66 79 77.4 74 59 58.7 64 76 76.5 80 50 49.1 54 61 60.2 58
05-13-22 54 54.8 56 80 81.4 87 60 59.6 55 78 81.9 81 61 59.2 58 77 77.4 79 58 58.7 56 71 76.5 64
05-12-22 47 43.7 47 79 81.1 86 55 54.8 54 79 81.4 85 60 59.6 51 77 81.9 79 59 59.2 58 77 77.4 76
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 12 10 4 7 4 10 7 8 4 9 9 6 6 6 9
% Succ 84.6   92.3 76.9   30.8 58.3   33.3 83.3   58.3 72.7   36.4 81.8   81.8 60.0   60.0 60.0   90.0
Ave Error 2.4   1.6 2.6   4.3 3.0   4.5 2.7   3.3 2.7   4.8 2.5   2.4 2.6   3.2 3.7   2.5
Net Error 1.4   1.0 1.0   3.7 0.8   3.6 1.2   2.5 1.3   2.9 1.4   1.4 1.2   2.4 1.6   -1.8
Std Dev 1.9   1.2 2.8   2.3 2.7   2.5 2.5   2.0 2.4   2.1 2.6   1.4 1.9   2.0 2.5   1.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-25-22 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-22 73   72 52   58 74   78 59   64 77   72 59   62 72   69 52   53
05-24-22 68 68.8 72 50 50.9 53 73   72 50   53 74   75 60   55 77   68 58   59
05-23-22 67 66.2 67 45 48.0 49 70 68.8 72 51 50.9 54 71   68 50   51 72   75 59   58
05-22-22 87 84.4 86 48 47.9 56 67 66.2 65 45 48.0 49 70 68.8 68 51 50.9 52 72   70 55   53
05-21-22 90 79.5 84 64 58.3 63 84 84.4 85 49 47.9 53 67 66.2 63 44 48.0 47 71 68.8 67 49 50.9 52
05-20-22 79 79.5 75 63 58.2 58 90 79.5 85 65 58.3 60 88 84.4 87 51 47.9 56 65 66.2 65 45 48.0 48
05-19-22 63 62.5 60 46 44.3 50 82 79.5 72 65 58.2 59 90 79.5 81 65 58.3 56 88 84.4 83 53 47.9 55
05-18-22 64 62.3 65 47 47.1 49 65 62.5 60 47 44.3 52 82 79.5 80 64 58.2 59 89 79.5 81 62 58.3 57
05-17-22 60 60.2 62 41 43.5 47 64 62.3 66 46 47.1 50 65 62.5 64 49 44.3 49 83 79.5 79 64 58.2 59
05-16-22 77 76.5 77 49 49.1 55 61 60.2 62 42 43.5 49 63 62.3 65 45 47.1 49 69 62.5 60 51 44.3 50
05-15-22 77 77.4 75 58 58.7 62 79 76.5 79 49 49.1 57 60 60.2 63 43 43.5 47 62 62.3 61 42 47.1 50
05-14-22 85 81.9 81 65 59.2 64 75 77.4 70 55 58.7 61 75 76.5 76 50 49.1 53 65 60.2 60 45 43.5 48
05-13-22 85 81.4 83 59 59.6 55 80 81.9 78 60 59.2 57 78 77.4 77 58 58.7 56 73 76.5 69 49 49.1 53
05-12-22 79 81.1 83 55 54.8 53 79 81.4 85 60 59.6 50 77 81.9 74 59 59.2 57 79 77.4 77 59 58.7 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 11 10 7 11 7 9 7 9 10 7 8 7 9 5 6
% Succ 92.3   84.6 76.9   53.8 91.7   58.3 75.0   58.3 81.8   90.9 63.6   72.7 70.0   90.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.1   2.2 2.0   3.7 2.5   3.6 2.3   4.2 2.6   2.2 2.6   2.9 3.7   1.8 3.3   2.8
Net Error 1.5   0.6 0.8   2.6 1.3   -0.1 0.8   2.2 1.4   -0.1 1.3   1.4 2.7   -1.5 1.3   2.4
Std Dev 2.7   1.2 2.0   2.1 2.5   2.1 2.1   2.3 2.7   0.8 2.0   2.0 2.2   0.5 1.5   2.1

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 05-25-22 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-22 73   71 52   57 74   76 59   63 77   72 59   61 72   71 52   55
05-24-22 69 68.8 67 51 50.9 51 73   71 50   54 74   76 60   58 77   66 58   57
05-23-22 67 66.2 65 45 48.0 47 70 68.8 70 51 50.9 50 71   66 50   51 72   72 59   58
05-22-22 84 84.4 85 48 47.9 54 67 66.2 66 45 48.0 50 70 68.8 72 51 50.9 58 72   68 55   54
05-21-22 90 79.5 86 64 58.3 66 84 84.4 83 49 47.9 57 67 66.2 63 44 48.0 49 71 68.8 68 49 50.9 53
05-20-22 80 79.5 77 60 58.2 62 95 79.5 86 65 58.3 60 90 84.4 84 55 47.9 54 65 66.2 62 45 48.0 45
05-19-22 60 62.5 58 46 44.3 49 82 79.5 74 65 58.2 58 90 79.5 81 65 58.3 59 88 84.4 82 53 47.9 57
05-18-22 64 62.3 61 47 47.1 44 65 62.5 58 47 44.3 49 82 79.5 77 64 58.2 59 89 79.5 81 62 58.3 57
05-17-22 59 60.2 60 41 43.5 40 64 62.3 63 46 47.1 46 65 62.5 61 49 44.3 49 83 79.5 78 64 58.2 59
05-16-22 75 76.5 73 45 49.1 54 65 60.2 63 45 43.5 48 65 62.3 64 45 47.1 50 65 62.5 62 50 44.3 51
05-15-22 77 77.4 78 58 58.7 60 79 76.5 75 49 49.1 53 60 60.2 59 43 43.5 48 62 62.3 61 42 47.1 50
05-14-22 80 81.9 78 61 59.2 61 78 77.4 68 58 58.7 57 75 76.5 77 49 49.1 53 61 60.2 57 44 43.5 48
05-13-22 84 81.4 78 59 59.6 58 80 81.9 75 60 59.2 59 78 77.4 72 58 58.7 56 73 76.5 74 49 49.1 54
05-12-22 81 81.1 79 55 54.8 54 79 81.4 84 60 59.6 50 77 81.9 71 59 59.2 54 79 77.4 72 59 58.7 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 10 11 8 10 7 10 7 8 9 6 5 9 8 5 6
% Succ 92.3   76.9 84.6   61.5 83.3   58.3 83.3   58.3 72.7   81.8 54.5   45.5 90.0   80.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.9   2.5 1.7   3.1 3.1   3.6 2.1   3.3 3.0   2.9 2.9   3.6 2.9   2.3 3.1   3.8
Net Error 0.6   -1.3 0.0   1.6 2.3   -1.3 1.3   1.0 1.8   -1.7 1.5   2.2 1.9   -2.0 1.1   2.4
Std Dev 2.6   1.8 1.6   2.1 3.9   2.6 2.2   2.3 2.7   1.2 2.3   2.0 2.2   1.0 1.4   2.4

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 05-25-22 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-25-22 53   58 74   77 60   60 77   69 60   60 71   64 53   54 76   74
05-24-22 51 50.9 54 74 74.2 74 50   55 73   78 58   60 76   69 62   59 70   62
05-23-22 45 48.0 49 69 68.8 72 50 50.9 53 72 74.2 71 51   52 73   76 60   57 75   71
05-22-22 49 47.9 52 66 66.2 65 43 48.0 47 70 68.8 70 51 50.9 52 72 74.2 66 52   49 73   74
05-21-22 65 58.3 68 83 84.4 87 50 47.9 66 65 66.2 72 44 48.0 55 71 68.8 70 49 50.9 58 71 74.2 69
05-20-22 61 58.2 64 90 79.5 88 66 58.3 63 87 84.4 85 50 47.9 55 67 66.2 65 46 48.0 47 71 68.8 67
05-19-22 46 44.3 49 80 79.5 75 64 58.2 57 90 79.5 85 66 58.3 58 87 84.4 83 53 47.9 55 67 66.2 65
05-18-22 47 47.1 47 64 62.5 58 49 44.3 51 82 79.5 74 66 58.2 58 90 79.5 82 65 58.3 57 81 84.4 85
05-17-22 42 43.5 42 64 62.3 64 48 47.1 46 64 62.5 62 46 44.3 51 82 79.5 80 63 58.2 60 89 79.5 77
05-16-22 48 49.1 52 60 60.2 63 40 43.5 47 63 62.3 64 44 47.1 49 68 62.5 64 51 44.3 50 81 79.5 76
05-15-22 57 58.7 61 78 76.5 80 48 49.1 55 61 60.2 63 43 43.5 49 62 62.3 62 43 47.1 52 70 62.5 65
05-14-22 62 59.2 60 75 77.4 71 59 58.7 57 75 76.5 74 48 49.1 52 61 60.2 57 44 43.5 43 61 62.3 61
05-13-22 60 59.6 63 81 81.9 83 61 59.2 65 79 77.4 74 59 58.7 61 76 76.5 74 50 49.1 55 61 60.2 58
05-12-22 55 54.8 59 80 81.4 88 60 59.6 59 78 81.9 80 61 59.2 58 77 77.4 78 58 58.7 60 71 76.5 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 8 12 8 8 7 10 9 8 7 9 10 5 5 7 8
% Succ 92.3   61.5 92.3   61.5 66.7   58.3 83.3   75.0 72.7   63.6 81.8   90.9 50.0   50.0 70.0   80.0
Ave Error 1.8   3.4 1.7   3.6 2.9   4.4 2.5   2.9 2.7   3.3 2.6   2.1 3.3   3.7 3.6   3.3
Net Error 0.6   3.1 0.7   1.0 1.1   3.4 1.1   0.0 1.2   3.0 2.0   -1.0 1.6   3.1 0.9   -2.7
Std Dev 1.7   2.4 2.6   2.2 2.2   4.5 2.5   1.8 2.4   2.5 2.7   2.0 1.8   2.1 2.2   1.4

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.