NWS Forecast
Thu, 21-Mar-2019 12:55
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Light Snow then Rain And Snow Likely
Chance Light Snow then Rain And Snow Likely
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Light Rain then Light Snow
Light Rain then Light Snow
Friday

Friday: Light Snow then Rain And Snow Showers Likely
Light Snow then Rain And Snow Showers Likely
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Rain And Snow Showers
Rain And Snow Showers
Saturday

Saturday: Snow Showers then Chance Light Snow
Snow Showers then Chance Light Snow
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Lo 33 °FHi 45 °FLo 32 °FHi 38 °FLo 22 °FHi 32 °FLo 24 °FHi 48 °FLo 29 °F
 
OUR Forecast
2:00
Rest of
tonight
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday

Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Friday
night
Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 33°High: 44°Low: 33°High: 36°Low: 23°High: 30°Low: 26°High: 46°Low: 32°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-21-19 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-19 33   33 45   44 32   33 38   36 22   23 32   30 24   26 48   46
03-20-19 19 26.2 24 47 50.9 48 35   32 43   42 34   34 39   39 21   21 30   31
03-19-19 19 23.6 20 39 38.3 37 20 26.2 25 47 50.9 47 34   33 43   43 29   31 37   37
03-18-19 16 22.7 20 34 36.9 35 17 23.6 22 34 38.3 37 21 26.2 24 46 50.9 46 34   33 43   40
03-17-19 20 23.0 20 31 29.3 29 19 22.7 18 34 36.9 34 14 23.6 18 34 38.3 35 16 26.2 23 44 50.9 46
03-16-19 34 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 21 23.0 22 32 29.3 32 20 22.7 22 35 36.9 33 14 23.6 18 34 38.3 33
03-15-19 41 39.5 40 57 61.7 61 34 32.7 34 37 34.2 36 21 23.0 23 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 23 35 36.9 33
03-14-19 31 33.2 32 52 49.1 53 43 39.5 42 59 61.7 61 33 32.7 34 39 34.2 35 23 23.0 23 34 29.3 35
03-13-19 17 16.9 19 40 39.5 43 35 33.2 35 49 49.1 54 42 39.5 43 60 61.7 61 35 32.7 36 38 34.2 38
03-12-19 26 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 14 16.9 18 42 39.5 41 29 33.2 32 51 49.1 52 41 39.5 41 58 61.7 59
03-11-19 36 34.8 31 38 36.6 35 25 26.6 25 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 18 44 39.5 42 30 33.2 34 49 49.1 47
03-09-19 12 26.7 16 37 38.7 36 26 34.8 25 40 36.6 40 31 26.6 32 37 31.2 35 23 16.9 24 31 39.5 29
03-08-19 5 10.3 7 31 32.7 31 14 26.7 15 35 38.7 36 26 34.8 26 40 36.6 41 33 26.6 30 36 31.2 33
03-07-19 5 4.1 2 21 20.5 21 7 10.3 9 30 32.7 32 14 26.7 16 34 38.7 37 24 34.8 26 39 36.6 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 12 7 9 9 10 5 7 4 6 5 7 3 3
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   92.3 58.3   75.0 75.0   83.3 45.5   63.6 36.4   54.5 50.0   70.0 30.0   30.0
Ave Error 3.8   3.0 1.9   1.6 4.5   3.3 2.7   2.2 4.8   3.7 3.8   3.0 5.2   3.4 4.1   4.5
Net Error -3.0   -2.6 -0.4   -0.4 -3.4   -2.2 -0.7   0.2 -3.4   -1.6 0.6   0.3 -1.9   -0.1 -1.0   -1.4
Std Dev 3.8   2.4 1.2   1.2 2.3   2.4 1.1   1.3 2.7   2.1 1.1   1.2 3.2   1.7 1.2   0.8

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-20-19 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-20-19 48   50 33   33 45   46 33   33 41   38 22   21 32   31 24   25
03-19-19 39 38.3 39 20 26.2 24 49   48 33   32 45   44 31   32 39   37 21   23
03-18-19 35 36.9 37 19 23.6 22 37 38.3 38 21 26.2 24 48   47 34   32 43   39 29   26
03-17-19 31 29.3 33 19 22.7 20 34 36.9 36 16 23.6 20 34 38.3 35 20 26.2 22 46   47 34   31
03-16-19 35 34.2 34 21 23.0 20 32 29.3 31 20 22.7 20 34 36.9 34 16 23.6 20 35 38.3 35 16 26.2 21
03-15-19 58 61.7 57 32 32.7 35 36 34.2 36 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 23 35 36.9 33 15 23.6 19
03-14-19 51 49.1 57 44 39.5 44 58 61.7 61 32 32.7 35 39 34.2 37 22 23.0 23 33 29.3 35 20 22.7 23
03-13-19 41 39.5 45 33 33.2 35 51 49.1 56 44 39.5 43 59 61.7 61 34 32.7 36 40 34.2 38 22 23.0 24
03-12-19 32 31.2 33 14 16.9 20 42 39.5 41 29 33.2 34 51 49.1 53 41 39.5 42 59 61.7 58 35 32.7 35
03-11-19 37 36.6 38 24 26.6 27 31 31.2 31 18 16.9 19 42 39.5 42 31 33.2 33 50 49.1 50 43 39.5 39
03-10-19 40 38.7 41 31 34.8 32 36 36.6 36 24 26.6 25 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 21 42 39.5 44 29 33.2 32
03-09-19 37 41.1 38 25 26.7 26 39 38.7 40 32 34.8 32 36 36.6 34 23 26.6 25 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 18
03-08-19 32 32.7 35 14 17.2 16 37 41.1 37 26 26.7 26 41 38.7 40 33 34.8 31 37 36.6 33 23 26.6 24
03-07-19 21 20.5 22 8 10.3 7 31 32.7 32 15 17.2 14 36 41.1 37 25 26.7 27 39 38.7 43 32 34.8 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 9 8 12 10 10 8 12 7 8 9 8 8 4 7 7
% Succ 84.6   69.2 61.5   92.3 83.3   83.3 66.7   100.0 63.6   72.7 81.8   72.7 80.0   40.0 70.0   70.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.7 3.0   2.3 2.0   1.7 3.0   2.2 2.9   2.5 2.6   2.2 2.2   3.5 4.0   2.4
Net Error -0.1   1.5 -2.3   -0.4 -0.4   0.5 -2.1   -0.8 0.0   0.0 -2.1   -0.3 0.5   0.3 -2.8   -1.4
Std Dev 1.1   2.1 1.6   1.1 1.0   1.7 1.8   0.8 1.0   1.1 2.1   1.5 1.4   1.1 2.7   1.5

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-20-19 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-20-19 46   49 32   32 45   44 33   33 41   40 22   28 32   31 24   25
03-19-19 39 38.3 37 20 26.2 24 49   48 33   32 45   45 31   33 39   38 21   20
03-18-19 35 36.9 35 20 23.6 21 36 38.3 38 22 26.2 24 47   48 34   31 43   41 29   25
03-17-19 30 29.3 30 20 22.7 19 34 36.9 36 16 23.6 21 34 38.3 36 20 26.2 23 46   45 34   31
03-16-19 35 34.2 35 21 23.0 20 32 29.3 31 20 22.7 19 34 36.9 33 16 23.6 19 35 38.3 34 16 26.2 21
03-15-19 58 61.7 58 32 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 33 21 22.7 22 35 36.9 33 15 23.6 18
03-14-19 50 49.1 49 43 39.5 38 58 61.7 58 32 32.7 36 39 34.2 37 22 23.0 23 33 29.3 36 20 22.7 25
03-13-19 41 39.5 40 33 33.2 31 51 49.1 54 44 39.5 42 59 61.7 62 34 32.7 35 40 34.2 37 22 23.0 24
03-12-19 18 31.2 18 40 16.9 40 35 39.5 32 49 33.2 52 42 49.1 41 60 39.5 58 35 61.7 37 38 32.7 38
03-11-19 37 26.6 37 25 31.2 26 31 31.2 32 18 16.9 20 42 39.5 43 31 33.2 33 50 49.1 55 43 39.5 40
03-10-19 40 38.7 39 31 34.8 31 36 26.6 35 24 31.2 24 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 20 42 39.5 44 29 33.2 34
03-09-19 37 41.1 39 26 26.7 25 39 38.7 40 32 34.8 33 36 26.6 34 23 31.2 24 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 20
03-08-19 32 32.7 31 14 17.2 16 37 41.1 36 26 26.7 25 41 38.7 43 33 34.8 31 37 26.6 34 23 31.2 22
03-07-19 21 20.5 21 8 10.3 7 31 32.7 32 15 17.2 18 36 41.1 37 25 26.7 26 39 38.7 40 32 34.8 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 10 9 9 8 7 7 9 5 5 7 7 6 3 5 5
% Succ 69.2   76.9 69.2   69.2 66.7   58.3 58.3   75.0 45.5   45.5 63.6   63.6 60.0   30.0 50.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.9 4.5   4.2 3.0   3.0 4.3   4.1 4.1   3.7 4.8   4.0 5.6   6.3 4.7   3.9
Net Error -0.5   -0.8 -0.4   -0.6 -0.3   -0.1 -0.7   0.7 0.1   0.3 -0.8   0.3 -0.9   -0.6 -3.0   -1.3
Std Dev 3.8   3.9 5.6   5.6 2.3   2.6 3.9   4.6 1.6   2.0 5.4   4.8 7.0   6.0 2.5   1.7

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-20-19 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-20-19 33   33 45   44 32   33 38   39 22   26 32   30 24   25 48   46
03-19-19 25 26.2 25 47 50.9 49 35   32 43   43 34   34 39   39 21   21 30   30
03-17-19 16 23.6 19 36 38.3 34 17 26.2 21 34 50.9 37 21   23 46   46 34   31 43   39
03-16-19 21 23.0 21 32 29.3 31 20 23.6 19 34 38.3 34 14 26.2 17 34 50.9 34 16   22 44   46
03-15-19 32 32.7 32 36 34.2 34 22 23.0 22 32 29.3 33 20 23.6 21 35 38.3 34 14 26.2 19 34 50.9 34
03-14-19 46 39.5 40 56 61.7 60 34 32.7 35 37 34.2 37 21 23.0 22 33 29.3 35 21 23.6 22 35 38.3 33
03-13-19 32 33.2 32 52 49.1 55 43 39.5 43 59 61.7 60 33 32.7 35 39 34.2 36 23 23.0 22 34 29.3 33
03-12-19 18 16.9 18 40 39.5 40 35 33.2 32 49 49.1 52 42 39.5 41 60 61.7 58 35 32.7 37 38 34.2 38
03-11-19 25 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 14 16.9 19 42 39.5 42 29 33.2 32 51 49.1 50 41 39.5 41 58 61.7 58
03-10-19 33 34.8 31 38 36.6 35 25 26.6 24 32 31.2 31 17 16.9 19 44 39.5 41 30 33.2 32 49 49.1 48
03-09-19 23 26.7 26 39 38.7 41 32 34.8 33 36 36.6 35 23 26.6 24 31 31.2 30 16 16.9 21 41 39.5 44
03-08-19 13 17.2 16 37 41.1 37 26 26.7 26 40 38.7 39 31 34.8 31 37 36.6 34 23 26.6 23 31 31.2 29
03-07-19 6 10.3 9 31 32.7 32 14 17.2 17 35 41.1 36 26 26.7 26 40 38.7 40 33 34.8 31 36 36.6 35
03-06-19 6 4.1 2 21 20.5 22 7 10.3 11 30 32.7 32 14 17.2 17 34 41.1 36 24 26.7 25 39 38.7 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 10 10 11 10 9 8 8 9 6 6 9 6 6 4
% Succ 61.5   84.6 76.9   76.9 91.7   83.3 75.0   66.7 72.7   81.8 54.5   54.5 90.0   60.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.9   1.8 2.2   2.0 2.9   2.2 3.6   3.3 3.3   2.5 4.2   4.1 3.1   3.0 3.5   4.4
Net Error -1.4   -1.5 -0.5   -0.2 -1.8   -0.7 -1.9   -1.3 -2.8   -1.4 -1.1   -2.1 -2.3   -1.0 -1.5   -2.0
Std Dev 2.1   1.2 1.5   1.7 2.1   1.3 4.2   3.4 3.0   2.1 4.2   4.2 3.1   1.8 4.4   4.1

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.