NWS Forecast
Wed, 08-Dec-2021 5:59
Tonight

Snow showers
Snow showers
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
Night
Snow
Snow
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday
Night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday
Night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Sunday
Night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Lo ≈25°FHi <35°FLo ≈25°FHi ≈40°FLo <35°FHi ≈55°FLo <35°FHi >35°FLo ≈30°F
 
OUR Forecast
19:00
Tonight

Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Thursday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Thursday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Saturday

Rain likely
Rain likely
Saturday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 24°High: 29°Low: 26°High: 38°Low: 31° High: 60°Low: 30°High: 40°Low: 30°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

2am Overnight Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 00Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-08-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-08-21 25   27 35   33 25   25 35   30 25   26 35   36 35   33 55   49
12-07-21 27 35.0 28 32 31.9 33 23   27 32   34 20   24 33   28 25   24 40   34
12-06-21 31 35.0 40 56 57.4 55 27 35.0 27 31 31.9 32 22   27 32   31 19   21 32   29
12-05-21 25 27.2 30 35 39.3 38 35 35.0 33 55 57.4 53 25 35.0 27 35 31.9 32 25   28 35   31
12-04-21 25 27.2 27 35 41.8 37 25 27.2 30 35 39.3 36 30 35.0 32 55 57.4 50 25 35.0 26 35 31.9 30
12-03-21 25 30.5 28 35 32.9 33 25 27.2 24 35 41.8 37 25 27.2 27 35 39.3 36 35 35.0 33 55 57.4 56
12-02-21 35 31.1 32 45 49.1 46 25 30.5 31 35 32.9 34 25 27.2 25 35 41.8 36 20 27.2 27 35 39.3 40
12-01-21 30 32.4 33 35 38.2 38 30 31.1 29 45 49.1 46 25 30.5 31 35 32.9 34 25 27.2 26 35 41.8 35
11-30-21 19 21.1 19 35 34.5 34 30 32.4 29 37 38.2 38 31 31.1 28 44 49.1 45 29 30.5 28 36 32.9 32
11-29-21 27 28.4 27 32 30.0 32 19 21.1 19 33 34.5 33 28 32.4 29 39 38.2 37 28 31.1 25 45 49.1 43
11-28-21 25 26.6 27 35 31.1 34 25 28.4 26 35 30.0 31 20 21.1 19 35 34.5 33 25 32.4 29 35 38.2 37
11-27-21 25 25.1 24 35 30.8 31 25 26.6 23 35 31.1 35 25 28.4 25 35 30.0 29 20 21.1 20 35 34.5 34
11-26-21 35 36.5 37 35 37.2 38 25 25.1 23 35 30.8 31 25 26.6 22 35 31.1 33 25 28.4 25 35 30.0 29
11-25-21 27 32.2 32 45 42.5 47 34 36.5 35 39 37.2 37 24 25.1 24 32 30.8 30 22 26.6 23 34 31.1 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 8 11 10 11 6 9 7 9 6 8 6 8 6 8
% Succ 61.5   84.6 61.5   84.6 83.3   91.7 50.0   75.0 63.6   81.8 54.5   72.7 60.0   80.0 60.0   80.0
Ave Error 3.1   1.9 2.9   1.8 2.6   2.8 3.2   2.0 3.3   2.9 3.2   2.6 4.1   3.3 3.5   2.2
Net Error -2.5   -0.3 -0.5   -0.1 -2.6   -2.3 -0.4   -0.9 -3.3   -2.8 -0.2   -2.0 -4.1   -3.3 -0.6   -1.7
Std Dev 2.0   1.9 1.7   1.4 2.0   1.7 1.7   1.6 2.5   1.9 1.7   2.1 2.7   2.4 1.1   2.0

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-08-21 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-08-21 35   33 25   25 35   30 25   26 40   37 35   31 55   55 35   30
12-07-21 33 31.9 33 23 25.2 27 33   35 22   24 31   29 23   26 39   35 32   33
12-06-21 56 57.4 54 27 35.0 27 33 31.9 31 23 25.2 26 32   31 20   22 33   30 24   26
12-05-21 37 39.3 40 33 35.0 35 55 57.4 54 27 35.0 27 32 31.9 32 23 25.2 28 32   30 20   21
12-04-21 39 41.8 39 26 27.2 30 37 39.3 37 32 35.0 33 55 57.4 52 24 35.0 27 31 31.9 31 22 25.2 28
12-03-21 33 32.9 35 20 27.2 25 39 41.8 38 25 27.2 27 40 39.3 36 34 35.0 32 56 57.4 55 23 35.0 24
12-02-21 48 49.1 45 28 30.5 30 33 32.9 33 24 27.2 24 37 41.8 36 20 27.2 27 42 39.3 38 35 35.0 35
12-01-21 35 38.2 39 25 31.1 30 45 49.1 46 25 30.5 31 35 32.9 34 25 27.2 27 35 41.8 35 20 27.2 27
11-30-21 36 34.5 36 30 32.4 31 37 38.2 38 28 31.1 30 44 49.1 45 30 30.5 29 32 32.9 33 23 27.2 24
11-29-21 35 30.0 34 20 21.1 20 35 34.5 34 30 32.4 29 35 38.2 38 30 31.1 31 45 49.1 41 25 30.5 30
11-28-21 35 31.1 35 25 28.4 27 35 30.0 32 18 21.1 19 35 34.5 33 25 32.4 28 40 38.2 35 25 31.1 24
11-27-21 35 30.8 32 25 26.6 25 35 31.1 31 25 28.4 26 35 30.0 29 20 21.1 21 35 34.5 28 25 32.4 25
11-26-21 35 37.2 40 25 25.1 24 30 30.8 31 25 26.6 22 35 31.1 34 25 28.4 27 35 30.0 30 20 21.1 21
11-25-21 47 42.5 50 35 36.5 37 36 37.2 39 25 25.1 24 29 30.8 31 23 26.6 22 33 31.1 34 24 28.4 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 9 10 12 9 11 10 10 7 8 8 8 7 7 3 6
% Succ 69.2   69.2 76.9   92.3 75.0   91.7 83.3   83.3 63.6   72.7 72.7   72.7 70.0   70.0 30.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.6   2.8 3.0   1.8 2.1   1.5 3.2   2.5 2.7   2.3 3.7   2.4 2.6   3.2 5.1   3.7
Net Error 0.6   1.2 -3.0   -1.0 -0.4   -0.9 -3.2   -2.2 -0.5   -1.5 -3.7   -1.9 -0.2   -2.6 -5.1   -3.1
Std Dev 1.4   1.3 2.4   1.9 1.4   1.3 1.6   2.0 1.5   1.8 3.1   2.2 1.6   2.4 2.9   3.0

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 12-08-21 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-08-21 35   30 25   24 35   29 25   27 40   38 35   34 55   51 35   31
12-07-21 35 31.9 33 25 25.2 26 35   33 25   24 35   29 25   25 35   35 35   29
12-06-21 55 57.4 60 25 35.0 27 35 31.9 32 25 25.2 26 35   32 20   23 35   28 25   25
12-05-21 37 39.3 39 33 35.0 33 55 57.4 53 27 35.0 27 32 31.9 31 23 25.2 27 32   31 20   21
12-04-21 35 41.8 42 25 27.2 30 35 39.3 37 35 35.0 32 55 57.4 52 25 35.0 26 35 31.9 31 25 25.2 26
12-03-21 35 32.9 34 20 27.2 23 39 41.8 37 25 27.2 28 40 39.3 36 34 35.0 32 56 57.4 52 23 35.0 27
12-02-21 48 49.1 50 28 30.5 30 33 32.9 34 24 27.2 25 37 41.8 36 20 27.2 26 42 39.3 37 35 35.0 34
12-01-21 37 38.2 37 29 31.1 28 45 49.1 46 29 30.5 30 35 32.9 34 27 27.2 25 35 41.8 35 20 27.2 24
11-30-21 36 34.5 35 30 32.4 29 37 38.2 37 28 31.1 29 44 49.1 46 30 30.5 31 32 32.9 32 23 27.2 24
11-29-21 35 30.0 31 20 21.1 18 35 34.5 34 30 32.4 29 35 38.2 37 30 31.1 29 45 49.1 45 25 30.5 30
11-28-21 35 31.1 33 25 28.4 26 35 30.0 31 18 21.1 18 35 34.5 33 25 32.4 27 40 38.2 39 25 31.1 28
11-27-21 30 30.8 30 19 26.6 22 35 31.1 34 25 28.4 25 35 30.0 30 20 21.1 19 35 34.5 33 25 32.4 27
11-26-21 35 37.2 35 25 25.1 23 30 30.8 31 25 26.6 22 35 31.1 35 25 28.4 23 35 30.0 29 20 21.1 20
11-25-21 45 42.5 42 35 36.5 36 35 37.2 38 25 25.1 25 35 30.8 31 25 26.6 23 35 31.1 33 25 28.4 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 10 13 10 10 8 10 11 10 6 8 8 8 6 7 4 7
% Succ 76.9   100.0 76.9   76.9 66.7   83.3 91.7   83.3 54.5   72.7 72.7   72.7 60.0   70.0 40.0   70.0
Ave Error 2.7   1.1 3.3   2.9 2.5   1.9 2.4   2.7 2.9   2.4 3.2   3.3 3.0   2.6 4.7   3.2
Net Error 0.1   0.3 -3.3   -2.3 -0.4   -0.9 -2.4   -2.4 0.1   -1.5 -3.2   -2.9 0.4   -2.0 -4.7   -3.0
Std Dev 1.6   0.7 2.9   1.8 1.5   1.4 1.9   1.9 1.6   1.6 3.1   2.2 1.5   1.8 3.2   2.0

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 12-07-21 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
12-07-21 25   27 35   33 25   25 35   31 25   27 35   36 35   29 55   56
12-06-21 27 35.0 27 32 31.9 32 23   27 32   33 20   23 33   27 25   22 40   33
12-05-21 32 35.0 32 56 57.4 54 27 35.0 27 31 31.9 32 22   26 32   31 19   21 32   31
12-04-21 25 27.2 29 35 39.3 38 35 35.0 32 55 57.4 53 25 35.0 26 35 31.9 32 25   27 35   30
12-03-21 20 27.2 24 40 41.8 38 27 27.2 27 39 39.3 36 30 35.0 31 55 57.4 53 25 35.0 24 33 31.9 30
12-02-21 27 30.5 29 32 32.9 33 22 27.2 25 37 41.8 37 23 27.2 27 42 39.3 36 33 35.0 34 53 57.4 56
12-01-21 29 31.1 30 47 49.1 47 29 30.5 30 34 32.9 34 22 27.2 26 37 41.8 35 20 27.2 26 39 39.3 42
11-30-21 35 32.4 31 35 38.2 38 30 31.1 31 45 49.1 46 25 30.5 30 35 32.9 33 25 27.2 25 35 41.8 35
11-29-21 16 21.1 20 35 34.5 34 30 32.4 29 37 38.2 38 31 31.1 28 44 49.1 45 29 30.5 28 36 32.9 32
11-28-21 26 28.4 27 32 30.0 32 19 21.1 18 33 34.5 33 28 32.4 29 39 38.2 37 28 31.1 32 45 49.1 45
11-27-21 21 26.6 26 35 31.1 35 25 28.4 25 32 30.0 31 21 21.1 19 36 34.5 33 27 32.4 28 39 38.2 37
11-26-21 25 25.1 22 35 30.8 30 25 26.6 21 35 31.1 35 25 28.4 24 35 30.0 29 20 21.1 19 35 34.5 34
11-25-21 35 36.5 37 35 37.2 38 25 25.1 24 35 30.8 31 25 26.6 24 35 31.1 34 25 28.4 25 35 30.0 30
11-24-21 25 32.2 28 45 42.5 45 35 36.5 36 35 37.2 37 25 25.1 24 35 30.8 30 25 26.6 21 35 31.1 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 10 11 10 10 8 9 5 8 6 8 7 7 5 8
% Succ 61.5   84.6 76.9   84.6 83.3   83.3 66.7   75.0 45.5   72.7 54.5   72.7 70.0   70.0 50.0   80.0
Ave Error 3.9   2.4 2.2   1.7 2.3   2.6 2.4   2.0 3.6   2.9 3.2   2.4 3.8   3.4 3.0   2.1
Net Error -3.5   -2.0 -0.2   -0.2 -2.3   -2.6 -0.5   -0.9 -3.6   -2.9 1.0   -1.8 -3.8   -3.3 -0.1   -1.2
Std Dev 2.2   1.9 1.3   1.3 2.1   2.2 1.3   1.6 2.6   2.2 1.2   1.9 2.5   2.8 1.7   1.7

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.