NWS Forecast
				Wed, 22-Mar-2023 3:37
Overnight Cloudy	Wednesday Mostly Cloudy	Wednesday Night Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers	Thursday Rain Showers	Thursday Night Rain Showers	Friday Mostly Cloudy	Friday Night Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Snow Showers	Saturday Slight Chance Snow Showers then Light Snow	Saturday Night Rain And Snow
Lo 29 °F	Hi 54 °F	Lo 40 °F	Hi 55 °F	Lo 31 °F	Hi 40 °F	Lo 27 °F	Hi 37 °F	Lo 34 °F
				OUR Forecast
				1:53
Rest of tonight Mostly Cloudy	Friday Chance rain	Friday night Rain and Snow	Saturday Rain and Snow Cold!	Saturday night Snow Cold!	Sunday Snow Cold!	Sunday night Snow	Monday Mostly Cloudy	Monday night Mostly Clear
Low: 32°	High: 46°	Low: 29°	High: 39°	Low: 21°	High: 27°	Low: 22°	High: 41°	Low: 26°

NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am

Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am

Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3 ± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS 03-17-23 43   32 28   46 36   29 19   39 27   21 20   27 41   22 21   41 03-16-23 41 31.8 47 32 48.2 30 43   44 29   28 35   38 20   22 28   28 20   22 03-15-23 30 32.8 32 23 27.3 18 40 31.8 38 32 48.2 28 42   40 32   29 38   37 20   23 03-14-23 34 33.1 36 25 23.5 25 31 32.8 32 22 27.3 19 41 31.8 38 30 48.2 31 41   40 33   30 03-13-23 35 36.4 39 32 30.3 29 35 33.1 35 26 23.5 27 33 32.8 33 24 27.3 22 40 31.8 37 31 48.2 30 03-12-23 39 37.6 37 30 32.5 29 37 36.4 37 31 30.3 32 33 33.1 35 27 23.5 29 35 32.8 34 24 27.3 25 03-11-23 37 35.5 36 20 15.1 19 38 37.6 36 30 32.5 28 36 36.4 38 29 30.3 31 32 33.1 35 27 23.5 29 03-10-23 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 29 35 35.5 37 20 15.1 20 35 37.6 37 25 32.5 29 35 36.4 37 35 30.3 28 03-09-23 33 34.9 35 19 19.4 22 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 28 36 35.5 37 17 15.1 21 37 37.6 37 26 32.5 31 03-08-23 31 32.5 34 23 26.2 23 33 34.9 34 18 19.4 21 36 37.2 36 22 30.0 26 34 35.5 35 15 15.1 22 03-07-23 28 32.0 30 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 23 26.2 23 32 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 36 24 30.0 28 03-06-23 35 39.8 38 21 24.1 21 27 32.0 28 19 22.6 19 30 32.5 32 23 26.2 24 33 34.9 33 16 19.4 20 03-05-23 36 40.0 38 26 31.9 25 36 39.8 35 23 24.1 22 30 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 22 26.2 21 03-04-23 34 34.7 35 28 29.8 28 38 40.0 35 26 31.9 25 38 39.8 35 25 24.1 21 32 32.0 30 22 22.6 19 Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS # Succ 9 12 7 9 9 8 7 7 10 8 8 5 9 9 5 6 % Succ 69.2   92.3 53.8   69.2 75.0   66.7 58.3   58.3 90.9   72.7 72.7   45.5 90.0   90.0 50.0   60.0 Ave Error 2.8   2.4 4.2   4.6 2.5   2.4 4.4   5.2 2.1   2.2 4.9   4.9 2.0   1.7 5.0   4.8 Net Error -0.8   1.1 -3.0   -3.4 -0.6   -0.7 -3.0   -3.3 -0.3   -0.1 -3.7   -2.4 0.1   0.1 -3.3   -2.2 Std Dev 2.1   3.7 3.7   4.4 2.1   1.6 3.8   4.8 2.4   1.5 4.5   4.1 2.1   1.3 4.3   4.6

Start: 03-17-23 03-16-23 03-15-23 03-14-23 03-13-23 03-12-23 03-11-23 03-10-23 03-09-23 03-08-23 03-07-23 03-06-23 03-05-23 03-04-23 03-03-23 03-02-23 03-01-23 02-28-23 02-27-23 02-26-23 02-25-23 02-24-23 02-23-23 02-22-23 02-21-23 02-20-23 02-19-23 02-18-23 02-17-23 02-16-23 02-15-23 02-14-23 02-13-23 02-12-23 02-11-23 02-10-23 02-08-23 02-07-23 02-06-23 02-05-23 02-04-23 02-03-23 02-02-23 02-01-23 01-31-23 01-29-23 01-28-23 01-26-23 01-25-23 01-24-23 01-23-23 01-22-23 01-21-23 01-20-23 01-19-23 01-18-23 01-17-23 01-16-23 01-15-23 01-14-23 01-13-23 01-12-23 01-11-23 01-10-23 01-09-23 01-08-23 01-07-23 01-06-23 01-05-23 01-04-23 01-03-23 01-02-23 01-01-23 12-31-22 12-30-22 12-29-22 12-28-22 12-27-22 12-26-22 12-25-22 12-24-22 12-23-22 12-22-22 12-21-22 12-20-22 12-19-22 12-18-22 12-17-22 12-16-22 12-15-22 12-14-22 12-13-22 12-12-22 12-11-22 12-10-22 12-09-22 12-08-22 12-07-22 12-06-22 12-05-22 12-04-22 12-03-22 12-02-22 12-01-22 11-30-22 11-29-22 11-28-22 11-27-22 11-26-22 11-25-22 11-24-22 11-23-22 11-22-22 11-21-22 11-20-22 11-19-22 11-18-22 11-17-22 11-16-22 11-15-22 11-14-22 11-13-22 11-12-22 11-11-22 11-10-22 11-09-22 11-08-22 11-07-22 11-06-22 11-05-22 11-04-22 11-03-22 11-02-22 11-01-22 10-31-22 10-30-22 10-29-22 10-28-22 10-27-22 10-26-22 10-25-22 10-24-22 10-23-22 10-22-22 10-21-22  Days: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146  Cols: 1 2 3 4 5   Goal:   Ext Stats:   Diff Cols:   Hilite #s:   Time:   Show NWS

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am

Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am

Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3 ± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS 03-17-23 46   32 28   46 36   29 19   39 27   21 20   27 41   22 21   41 03-16-23 42 31.8 45 32 48.2 31 43   44 29   28 35   39 20   21 28   29 20   23 03-15-23 30 32.8 30 23 27.3 18 40 31.8 38 33 48.2 28 43   42 32   29 38   37 20   23 03-14-23 33 33.1 35 25 23.5 25 31 32.8 32 22 27.3 19 41 31.8 38 30 48.2 30 41   41 33   29 03-13-23 35 36.4 38 32 30.3 30 35 33.1 34 26 23.5 25 33 32.8 32 24 27.3 20 40 31.8 37 31 48.2 32 03-12-23 39 37.6 39 30 32.5 29 37 36.4 38 31 30.3 32 33 33.1 35 27 23.5 29 35 32.8 34 24 27.3 22 03-11-23 37 35.5 37 20 15.1 18 38 37.6 36 30 32.5 27 36 36.4 37 29 30.3 32 32 33.1 35 27 23.5 30 03-10-23 36 37.2 37 28 30.0 29 37 35.5 36 19 15.1 20 39 37.6 37 29 32.5 29 36 36.4 36 29 30.3 30 03-09-23 33 34.9 35 19 19.4 22 35 37.2 37 25 30.0 29 36 35.5 37 17 15.1 21 37 37.6 36 26 32.5 30 03-08-23 35 32.5 32 25 26.2 22 35 34.9 34 19 19.4 20 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 27 35 35.5 35 18 15.1 23 03-07-23 29 32.0 31 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 23 26.2 23 32 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 36 24 30.0 26 03-06-23 40 39.8 40 21 24.1 20 27 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 23 26.2 22 33 34.9 32 16 19.4 19 03-05-23 37 40.0 39 25 31.9 25 36 39.8 35 23 24.1 22 30 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 22 26.2 21 03-04-23 34 34.7 35 27 29.8 28 38 40.0 36 26 31.9 25 38 39.8 34 25 24.1 20 32 32.0 29 22 22.6 20 Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS # Succ 12 12 8 8 9 8 7 6 10 8 9 4 9 9 6 4 % Succ 92.3   92.3 61.5   61.5 75.0   66.7 58.3   50.0 90.9   72.7 81.8   36.4 90.0   90.0 60.0   40.0 Ave Error 2.3   2.0 4.0   4.5 2.4   2.2 4.1   5.0 2.1   2.4 4.3   5.4 1.8   1.9 4.9   5.1 Net Error 0.1   1.1 -2.8   -3.5 -0.3   -0.6 -2.9   -3.6 -0.1   -0.5 -3.1   -2.7 0.3   -0.3 -3.6   -2.2 Std Dev 2.4   3.3 3.9   4.3 2.1   1.7 3.6   5.0 2.4   1.5 4.4   4.3 2.2   1.3 4.2   4.0

Start: 03-17-23 03-16-23 03-15-23 03-14-23 03-13-23 03-12-23 03-11-23 03-10-23 03-09-23 03-08-23 03-07-23 03-06-23 03-05-23 03-04-23 03-03-23 03-02-23 03-01-23 02-28-23 02-27-23 02-26-23 02-25-23 02-24-23 02-23-23 02-22-23 02-21-23 02-20-23 02-19-23 02-18-23 02-17-23 02-16-23 02-15-23 02-14-23 02-13-23 02-12-23 02-11-23 02-10-23 02-09-23 02-08-23 02-07-23 02-06-23 02-05-23 02-04-23 02-03-23 02-02-23 02-01-23 01-31-23 01-30-23 01-29-23 01-28-23 01-27-23 01-26-23 01-25-23 01-24-23 01-23-23 01-22-23 01-21-23 01-20-23 01-19-23 01-18-23 01-17-23 01-16-23 01-15-23 01-14-23 01-13-23 01-12-23 01-11-23 01-10-23 01-09-23 01-08-23 01-07-23 01-06-23 01-05-23 01-04-23 01-03-23 01-02-23 01-01-23 12-31-22 12-30-22 12-29-22 12-28-22 12-27-22 12-26-22 12-25-22 12-24-22 12-23-22 12-22-22 12-21-22 12-20-22 12-19-22 12-18-22 12-17-22 12-16-22 12-15-22 12-14-22 12-13-22 12-12-22 12-11-22 12-10-22 12-09-22 12-08-22 12-07-22 12-06-22 12-05-22 12-04-22 12-03-22 12-02-22 12-01-22 11-30-22 11-29-22 11-28-22 11-27-22 11-26-22 11-25-22 11-24-22 11-23-22 11-22-22 11-21-22 11-20-22 11-19-22 11-18-22 11-17-22 11-16-22 11-15-22 11-14-22 11-13-22 11-12-22 11-11-22 11-10-22 11-09-22 11-08-22 11-07-22 11-06-22 11-05-22 11-04-22 11-03-22 11-02-22 11-01-22 10-31-22 10-30-22 10-29-22 10-28-22 10-27-22 10-26-22 10-25-22 10-24-22 10-23-22 10-22-22 10-21-22  Days: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148  Cols: 1 2 3 4 5   Goal:   Ext Stats:   Diff Cols:   Hilite #s:   Time:   Show NWS

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm

Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am

Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3 ± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS 03-17-23 28   32 37   46 18   29 27   39 22   21 42   27 23   22 47   41 03-16-23 31 31.8 31 45 47.1 44 28   28 37   39 19   21 27   29 20   23 40   40 03-15-23 20 27.3 20 42 48.2 38 31 31.8 28 44 47.1 42 30   28 37   37 20   22 28   31 03-14-23 22 23.5 24 30 32.8 31 21 27.3 18 41 48.2 38 31 31.8 29 42 47.1 40 32   32 37   37 03-13-23 31 30.3 31 33 33.1 35 25 23.5 27 31 32.8 32 21 27.3 20 38 48.2 37 32 31.8 32 41 47.1 40 03-12-23 29 32.5 30 36 36.4 39 31 30.3 31 35 33.1 36 28 23.5 28 33 32.8 33 24 27.3 22 41 48.2 37 03-11-23 20 15.1 19 38 37.6 36 28 32.5 27 34 36.4 38 30 30.3 31 31 33.1 36 26 23.5 30 32 32.8 35 03-10-23 28 30.0 29 36 35.5 36 20 15.1 20 38 37.6 36 29 32.5 29 34 36.4 36 28 30.3 28 33 33.1 34 03-09-23 19 19.4 22 36 37.2 38 28 30.0 29 35 35.5 37 18 15.1 20 39 37.6 37 31 32.5 29 37 36.4 38 03-08-23 22 26.2 23 32 34.9 34 18 19.4 22 34 37.2 35 25 30.0 26 35 35.5 35 15 15.1 22 37 37.6 37 03-07-23 20 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 22 26.2 23 33 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 35 26 30.0 28 36 35.5 34 03-06-23 21 24.1 22 27 32.0 29 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 24 26.2 22 33 34.9 32 19 19.4 19 37 37.2 37 03-05-23 25 31.9 26 35 39.8 35 20 24.1 20 25 32.0 27 19 22.6 19 35 32.5 32 25 26.2 24 35 34.9 33 03-04-23 25 29.8 28 35 40.0 35 25 31.9 25 35 39.8 35 25 24.1 21 35 32.0 30 25 22.6 21 35 32.5 31 Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS # Succ 8 10 9 10 5 6 9 8 8 6 9 9 9 7 8 8 % Succ 61.5   76.9 69.2   76.9 41.7   50.0 75.0   66.7 72.7   54.5 81.8   81.8 90.0   70.0 80.0   80.0 Ave Error 3.3   2.8 2.5   2.8 3.5   4.1 3.0   3.2 2.9   3.7 2.7   2.8 1.8   3.1 1.9   2.9 Net Error -2.4   -1.6 -2.4   -1.9 -2.3   -2.1 -2.6   -2.2 -1.4   -1.5 -1.4   -2.2 -0.8   -0.4 -1.1   -1.9 Std Dev 2.1   2.0 1.9   2.5 1.8   2.1 1.8   2.5 1.7   1.6 2.7   3.2 0.9   2.0 2.3   3.1

Start: 03-17-23 03-16-23 03-15-23 03-14-23 03-13-23 03-12-23 03-11-23 03-10-23 03-09-23 03-08-23 03-07-23 03-06-23 03-05-23 03-04-23 03-03-23 03-02-23 03-01-23 02-28-23 02-27-23 02-26-23 02-25-23 02-24-23 02-23-23 02-22-23 02-21-23 02-20-23 02-19-23 02-18-23 02-17-23 02-16-23 02-15-23 02-14-23 02-13-23 02-12-23 02-11-23 02-10-23 02-09-23 02-08-23 02-07-23 02-06-23 02-04-23 02-03-23 02-02-23 02-01-23 01-31-23 01-30-23 01-28-23 01-27-23 01-26-23 01-25-23 01-24-23 01-23-23 01-22-23 01-21-23 01-20-23 01-19-23 01-18-23 01-17-23 01-16-23 01-15-23 01-14-23 01-13-23 01-12-23 01-11-23 01-10-23 01-09-23 01-08-23 01-07-23 01-06-23 01-05-23 01-04-23 01-02-23 01-01-23 12-31-22 12-30-22 12-29-22 12-28-22 12-27-22 12-26-22 12-25-22 12-24-22 12-23-22 12-22-22 12-21-22 12-20-22 12-19-22 12-18-22 12-17-22 12-16-22 12-15-22 12-14-22 12-13-22 12-12-22 12-11-22 12-10-22 12-09-22 12-08-22 12-07-22 12-06-22 12-05-22 12-04-22 12-03-22 12-02-22 12-01-22 11-30-22 11-29-22 11-28-22 11-27-22 11-26-22 11-25-22 11-24-22 11-23-22 11-22-22 11-21-22 11-20-22 11-19-22 11-18-22 11-17-22 11-16-22 11-15-22 11-14-22 11-13-22 11-12-22 11-11-22 11-10-22 11-09-22 11-08-22 11-07-22 11-06-22 11-05-22 11-04-22 11-03-22 11-02-22 11-01-22 10-31-22 10-30-22 10-29-22 10-28-22 10-27-22 10-26-22 10-25-22 10-24-22 10-23-22 10-22-22 10-21-22  Days: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146  Cols: 1 2 3 4 5   Goal:   Ext Stats:   Diff Cols:   Hilite #s:   Time:   Show NWS

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.

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