NWS Forecast
Thu, 18-Jul-2024 3:10
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And T-Storms
Hi 77 °FLo 55 °FHi 78 °FLo 56 °FHi 82 °FLo 59 °FHi 82 °FLo 59 °FHi 84 °F
 
OUR Forecast
13:00
This
afternoon
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Saturday
night
Fog late
Fog late
Sunday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 78°Low: 57°High: 79°Low: 58°High: 84°Low: 61°High: 81°Low: 63°High: 80°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am

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Updated: 07-18-24 at 7:00 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-18-24 76   79 56   57 78   79 55   58 82   82 59   60 83   82 60   63
07-17-24 84 82.6 88 61 64.1 69 77   78 55   62 78   78 56   61 82   79 60   63
07-16-24 90 88.1 89 68 66.5 70 84 82.6 83 62 64.1 69 77   77 57   63 79   79 56   62
07-15-24 89 88.7 92 67 68.1 71 88 88.1 84 69 66.5 72 83 82.6 80 62 64.1 68 77   76 56   64
07-14-24 87 84.6 91 67 69.6 63 89 88.7 90 67 68.1 70 89 88.1 83 68 66.5 69 82 82.6 78 62 64.1 68
07-13-24 83 85.3 89 62 62.8 61 87 84.6 88 66 69.6 63 87 88.7 86 68 68.1 67 89 88.1 84 70 66.5 71
07-12-24 83 82.1 67 67 66.1 83 85 85.3 66 64 62.8 85 87 84.6 67 66 69.6 86 86 88.7 71 68 68.1 86
07-11-24 79 67.3 84 65 78.7 69 83 82.1 81 65 66.1 68 85 85.3 84 64 62.8 67 87 84.6 84 66 69.6 67
07-10-24 87 90.1 89 70 71.9 73 82 67.3 81 65 78.7 69 81 82.1 81 64 66.1 65 85 85.3 80 64 62.8 68
07-09-24 90 88.0 89 69 70.2 71 83 90.1 85 69 71.9 72 81 67.3 81 65 78.7 67 81 82.1 81 65 66.1 65
07-08-24 87 87.2 88 67 66.6 67 89 88.0 90 68 70.2 70 80 90.1 74 67 71.9 70 83 67.3 74 69 78.7 68
07-07-24 83 84.1 87 60 64.9 63 86 87.2 88 65 66.6 66 88 88.0 88 68 70.2 69 80 90.1 87 68 71.9 72
07-06-24 84 87.3 83 62 64.0 71 82 84.1 85 61 64.9 67 86 87.2 83 66 66.6 69 86 88.0 80 66 70.2 72
07-05-24 84 83.4 88 68 71.5 71 86 87.3 85 64 64.0 68 84 84.1 82 64 64.9 64 87 87.2 82 67 66.6 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 6 11 8 10 8 10 6 9 6 9 7 8 3 7 5
% Succ 92.3   46.2 84.6   61.5 83.3   66.7 83.3   50.0 81.8   54.5 81.8   63.6 80.0   30.0 70.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.4   5.1 2.9   4.5 2.7   4.5 3.0   5.0 2.9   6.0 3.0   4.3 3.6   5.6 3.0   4.8
Net Error 0.9   1.9 -2.5   1.3 0.7   -0.8 -2.4   2.1 0.3   -3.6 -2.5   1.0 0.2   -4.3 -2.0   1.9
Std Dev 2.8   4.9 3.3   4.4 4.0   5.5 3.3   5.8 4.2   5.8 3.5   4.6 1.9   4.4 1.3   4.4

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 07-18-24 at 1:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-18-24 77   78 56   57 78   79 55   58 82   84 59   61 83   81 60   63
07-17-24 83 82.6 83 61 64.1 68 77   79 55   61 78   78 56   60 82   79 60   62
07-16-24 90 88.1 88 68 66.5 71 84 82.6 81 62 64.1 68 77   78 57   65 79   76 56   62
07-15-24 89 88.7 87 67 68.1 64 88 88.1 89 69 66.5 70 83 82.6 82 62 64.1 68 77   77 56   62
07-14-24 87 84.6 85 67 69.6 68 89 88.7 87 67 68.1 72 89 88.1 84 68 66.5 71 82 82.6 76 62 64.1 69
07-13-24 83 85.3 85 62 62.8 66 87 84.6 85 66 69.6 68 87 88.7 91 68 68.1 72 89 88.1 85 70 66.5 72
07-12-24 79 82.1 67 67 66.1 83 85 85.3 66 64 62.8 85 87 84.6 67 66 69.6 86 88 88.7 71 69 68.1 86
07-11-24 80 67.3 81 65 78.7 66 83 82.1 81 65 66.1 66 85 85.3 83 64 62.8 67 87 84.6 85 66 69.6 68
07-10-24 86 90.1 90 69 71.9 74 82 67.3 78 65 78.7 68 81 82.1 77 64 66.1 65 85 85.3 79 64 62.8 67
07-09-24 89 88.0 88 69 70.2 69 83 90.1 82 69 71.9 73 81 67.3 76 65 78.7 68 81 82.1 78 65 66.1 66
07-08-24 87 87.2 86 67 66.6 68 89 88.0 88 68 70.2 71 80 90.1 77 67 71.9 72 83 67.3 78 69 78.7 68
07-07-24 83 84.1 84 60 64.9 63 86 87.2 86 65 66.6 67 88 88.0 86 68 70.2 71 80 90.1 77 68 71.9 71
07-06-24 84 87.3 85 62 64.0 68 82 84.1 84 61 64.9 64 86 87.2 85 66 66.6 67 86 88.0 86 66 70.2 70
07-05-24 84 83.4 83 68 71.5 70 86 87.3 80 64 64.0 68 84 84.1 82 64 64.9 66 87 87.2 79 67 66.6 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 11 11 7 10 8 10 7 9 6 9 5 8 3 7 5
% Succ 84.6   84.6 84.6   53.8 83.3   66.7 83.3   58.3 81.8   54.5 81.8   45.5 80.0   30.0 70.0   50.0
Ave Error 2.6   2.8 3.0   4.5 2.7   4.4 3.0   4.4 2.9   5.5 3.0   4.3 3.4   7.2 3.1   4.7
Net Error 0.4   -0.5 -2.5   1.0 0.7   -2.4 -2.4   2.2 0.3   -3.5 -2.5   2.1 0.4   -5.0 -1.9   2.0
Std Dev 3.1   5.0 3.3   4.5 4.0   5.5 3.3   5.9 4.2   4.9 3.5   4.4 1.9   4.3 1.2   4.5

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 07-17-24 at 7:00 pm
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-17-24 60   65 77   79 54   60 78   79 55   60 83   81 60   62 82   82
07-16-24 67 66.5 69 82 82.6 81 63   68 77   78 56   63 78   77 57   61 82   79
07-15-24 67 68.1 71 87 88.1 86 67 66.5 73 83 82.6 77 61   68 77   76 56   64 78   76
07-14-24 67 69.6 69 88 88.7 86 68 68.1 72 89 88.1 80 69 66.5 70 82 82.6 81 62   67 78   79
07-13-24 61 62.8 65 87 84.6 85 65 69.6 68 88 88.7 89 68 68.1 71 88 88.1 83 70 66.5 71 82 82.6 79
07-12-24 67 66.1 68 84 85.3 83 62 62.8 67 86 84.6 83 66 69.6 69 88 88.7 84 69 68.1 71 89 88.1 86
07-11-24 64 67.3 66 83 82.1 82 66 66.1 67 85 85.3 82 64 62.8 67 87 84.6 83 66 69.6 68 88 88.7 85
07-10-24 69 71.9 71 80 78.7 79 64 67.3 67 82 82.1 79 64 66.1 67 85 85.3 80 63 62.8 68 88 84.6 83
07-09-24 70 70.2 70 87 90.1 83 70 71.9 73 83 78.7 76 64 67.3 68 81 82.1 78 63 66.1 66 85 85.3 78
07-08-24 68 88.0 70 90 66.6 89 70 70.2 72 81 90.1 80 69 71.9 72 82 78.7 80 68 67.3 68 83 82.1 79
07-07-24 62 64.9 65 88 87.2 87 67 88.0 68 89 66.6 83 69 70.2 70 84 90.1 76 68 71.9 70 84 78.7 77
07-06-24 64 64.0 65 83 84.1 85 62 64.9 63 88 87.2 87 66 88.0 66 88 66.6 88 67 70.2 69 81 90.1 82
07-05-24 69 71.5 72 86 87.3 78 63 64.0 67 83 84.1 81 63 64.9 66 88 87.2 79 67 88.0 67 85 66.6 77
07-04-24 69 68.8 68 85 83.4 83 70 71.5 69 86 87.3 78 63 64.0 68 81 84.1 81 60 64.9 67 85 87.2 78
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 12 10 10 8 9 7 10 8 9 4 7 7 7 5
% Succ 92.3   92.3 92.3   76.9 83.3   66.7 75.0   58.3 90.9   72.7 81.8   36.4 70.0   70.0 70.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.0   2.5 3.0   3.8 3.2   4.0 3.6   5.3 3.8   3.7 3.6   6.4 4.5   4.1 4.2   5.1
Net Error -2.7   -0.8 1.6   -0.1 -3.1   -0.4 1.5   -2.5 -3.1   -0.5 1.4   -2.3 -3.4   -1.0 1.6   -3.0
Std Dev 5.0   4.5 5.9   5.9 5.5   5.1 6.1   4.4 1.7   2.2 2.2   3.6 2.2   1.9 2.5   1.8

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.