NWS Forecast
Wed, 22-Mar-2023 3:37
Overnight

Overnight: Cloudy
Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
Thursday

Thursday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Friday

Friday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Snow Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Snow Showers
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Snow Showers then Light Snow
Slight Chance Snow Showers then Light Snow
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Rain And Snow
Rain And Snow
Lo 29 °FHi 54 °FLo 40 °FHi 55 °FLo 31 °FHi 40 °FLo 27 °FHi 37 °FLo 34 °F
 
OUR Forecast
1:53
Rest of
tonight
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday
night
Rain and Snow
Rain and Snow
Saturday

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Saturday
night
Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Sunday

Snow
Cold!
Snow
Cold!
Sunday
night
Snow
Snow
Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Monday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 32°High: 46°Low: 29°High: 39°Low: 21°High: 27°Low: 22°High: 41°Low: 26°


NWS & Our Forecast Comparison for Hessville, NY

National Weather Service Forecast (NW), Actual Observed (Act), Our Forecast (WS)

7am Morning Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 06Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-17-23 43   32 28   46 36   29 19   39 27   21 20   27 41   22 21   41
03-16-23 41 31.8 47 32 48.2 30 43   44 29   28 35   38 20   22 28   28 20   22
03-15-23 30 32.8 32 23 27.3 18 40 31.8 38 32 48.2 28 42   40 32   29 38   37 20   23
03-14-23 34 33.1 36 25 23.5 25 31 32.8 32 22 27.3 19 41 31.8 38 30 48.2 31 41   40 33   30
03-13-23 35 36.4 39 32 30.3 29 35 33.1 35 26 23.5 27 33 32.8 33 24 27.3 22 40 31.8 37 31 48.2 30
03-12-23 39 37.6 37 30 32.5 29 37 36.4 37 31 30.3 32 33 33.1 35 27 23.5 29 35 32.8 34 24 27.3 25
03-11-23 37 35.5 36 20 15.1 19 38 37.6 36 30 32.5 28 36 36.4 38 29 30.3 31 32 33.1 35 27 23.5 29
03-10-23 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 29 35 35.5 37 20 15.1 20 35 37.6 37 25 32.5 29 35 36.4 37 35 30.3 28
03-09-23 33 34.9 35 19 19.4 22 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 28 36 35.5 37 17 15.1 21 37 37.6 37 26 32.5 31
03-08-23 31 32.5 34 23 26.2 23 33 34.9 34 18 19.4 21 36 37.2 36 22 30.0 26 34 35.5 35 15 15.1 22
03-07-23 28 32.0 30 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 23 26.2 23 32 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 36 24 30.0 28
03-06-23 35 39.8 38 21 24.1 21 27 32.0 28 19 22.6 19 30 32.5 32 23 26.2 24 33 34.9 33 16 19.4 20
03-05-23 36 40.0 38 26 31.9 25 36 39.8 35 23 24.1 22 30 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 22 26.2 21
03-04-23 34 34.7 35 28 29.8 28 38 40.0 35 26 31.9 25 38 39.8 35 25 24.1 21 32 32.0 30 22 22.6 19
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 12 7 9 9 8 7 7 10 8 8 5 9 9 5 6
% Succ 69.2   92.3 53.8   69.2 75.0   66.7 58.3   58.3 90.9   72.7 72.7   45.5 90.0   90.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 2.8   2.4 4.2   4.6 2.5   2.4 4.4   5.2 2.1   2.2 4.9   4.9 2.0   1.7 5.0   4.8
Net Error -0.8   1.1 -3.0   -3.4 -0.6   -0.7 -3.0   -3.3 -0.3   -0.1 -3.7   -2.4 0.1   0.1 -3.3   -2.2
Std Dev 2.1   3.7 3.7   4.4 2.1   1.6 3.8   4.8 2.4   1.5 4.5   4.1 2.1   1.3 4.3   4.6

1pm Mid Day Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 12Z

High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm. Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am
Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-17-23 46   32 28   46 36   29 19   39 27   21 20   27 41   22 21   41
03-16-23 42 31.8 45 32 48.2 31 43   44 29   28 35   39 20   21 28   29 20   23
03-15-23 30 32.8 30 23 27.3 18 40 31.8 38 33 48.2 28 43   42 32   29 38   37 20   23
03-14-23 33 33.1 35 25 23.5 25 31 32.8 32 22 27.3 19 41 31.8 38 30 48.2 30 41   41 33   29
03-13-23 35 36.4 38 32 30.3 30 35 33.1 34 26 23.5 25 33 32.8 32 24 27.3 20 40 31.8 37 31 48.2 32
03-12-23 39 37.6 39 30 32.5 29 37 36.4 38 31 30.3 32 33 33.1 35 27 23.5 29 35 32.8 34 24 27.3 22
03-11-23 37 35.5 37 20 15.1 18 38 37.6 36 30 32.5 27 36 36.4 37 29 30.3 32 32 33.1 35 27 23.5 30
03-10-23 36 37.2 37 28 30.0 29 37 35.5 36 19 15.1 20 39 37.6 37 29 32.5 29 36 36.4 36 29 30.3 30
03-09-23 33 34.9 35 19 19.4 22 35 37.2 37 25 30.0 29 36 35.5 37 17 15.1 21 37 37.6 36 26 32.5 30
03-08-23 35 32.5 32 25 26.2 22 35 34.9 34 19 19.4 20 35 37.2 36 25 30.0 27 35 35.5 35 18 15.1 23
03-07-23 29 32.0 31 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 23 26.2 23 32 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 36 24 30.0 26
03-06-23 40 39.8 40 21 24.1 20 27 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 23 26.2 22 33 34.9 32 16 19.4 19
03-05-23 37 40.0 39 25 31.9 25 36 39.8 35 23 24.1 22 30 32.0 28 19 22.6 18 30 32.5 31 22 26.2 21
03-04-23 34 34.7 35 27 29.8 28 38 40.0 36 26 31.9 25 38 39.8 34 25 24.1 20 32 32.0 29 22 22.6 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 12 12 8 8 9 8 7 6 10 8 9 4 9 9 6 4
% Succ 92.3   92.3 61.5   61.5 75.0   66.7 58.3   50.0 90.9   72.7 81.8   36.4 90.0   90.0 60.0   40.0
Ave Error 2.3   2.0 4.0   4.5 2.4   2.2 4.1   5.0 2.1   2.4 4.3   5.4 1.8   1.9 4.9   5.1
Net Error 0.1   1.1 -2.8   -3.5 -0.3   -0.6 -2.9   -3.6 -0.1   -0.5 -3.1   -2.7 0.3   -0.3 -3.6   -2.2
Std Dev 2.4   3.3 3.9   4.3 2.1   1.7 3.6   5.0 2.4   1.5 4.4   4.3 2.2   1.3 4.2   4.0

7pm Evening Forecast - Comparison - Our Forecast based on GFS 18Z

Low Temp is captured between 9pm - 9am. High Temp is captured between 9am - 9pm
Updated: 03-17-23 at 1:53 am
Goal Current 24 Hour Forecast Period +1 +2 +3
± 3.6° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-17-23 28   32 37   46 18   29 27   39 22   21 42   27 23   22 47   41
03-16-23 31 31.8 31 45 47.1 44 28   28 37   39 19   21 27   29 20   23 40   40
03-15-23 20 27.3 20 42 48.2 38 31 31.8 28 44 47.1 42 30   28 37   37 20   22 28   31
03-14-23 22 23.5 24 30 32.8 31 21 27.3 18 41 48.2 38 31 31.8 29 42 47.1 40 32   32 37   37
03-13-23 31 30.3 31 33 33.1 35 25 23.5 27 31 32.8 32 21 27.3 20 38 48.2 37 32 31.8 32 41 47.1 40
03-12-23 29 32.5 30 36 36.4 39 31 30.3 31 35 33.1 36 28 23.5 28 33 32.8 33 24 27.3 22 41 48.2 37
03-11-23 20 15.1 19 38 37.6 36 28 32.5 27 34 36.4 38 30 30.3 31 31 33.1 36 26 23.5 30 32 32.8 35
03-10-23 28 30.0 29 36 35.5 36 20 15.1 20 38 37.6 36 29 32.5 29 34 36.4 36 28 30.3 28 33 33.1 34
03-09-23 19 19.4 22 36 37.2 38 28 30.0 29 35 35.5 37 18 15.1 20 39 37.6 37 31 32.5 29 37 36.4 38
03-08-23 22 26.2 23 32 34.9 34 18 19.4 22 34 37.2 35 25 30.0 26 35 35.5 35 15 15.1 22 37 37.6 37
03-07-23 20 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 22 26.2 23 33 34.9 33 17 19.4 21 37 37.2 35 26 30.0 28 36 35.5 34
03-06-23 21 24.1 22 27 32.0 29 18 22.6 19 31 32.5 32 24 26.2 22 33 34.9 32 19 19.4 19 37 37.2 37
03-05-23 25 31.9 26 35 39.8 35 20 24.1 20 25 32.0 27 19 22.6 19 35 32.5 32 25 26.2 24 35 34.9 33
03-04-23 25 29.8 28 35 40.0 35 25 31.9 25 35 39.8 35 25 24.1 21 35 32.0 30 25 22.6 21 35 32.5 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 10 9 10 5 6 9 8 8 6 9 9 9 7 8 8
% Succ 61.5   76.9 69.2   76.9 41.7   50.0 75.0   66.7 72.7   54.5 81.8   81.8 90.0   70.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 3.3   2.8 2.5   2.8 3.5   4.1 3.0   3.2 2.9   3.7 2.7   2.8 1.8   3.1 1.9   2.9
Net Error -2.4   -1.6 -2.4   -1.9 -2.3   -2.1 -2.6   -2.2 -1.4   -1.5 -1.4   -2.2 -0.8   -0.4 -1.1   -1.9
Std Dev 2.1   2.0 1.9   2.5 1.8   2.1 1.8   2.5 1.7   1.6 2.7   3.2 0.9   2.0 2.3   3.1

Script credited to Jim at jcweather.us.
Dual Image forecast icons credited to Ken at Saratoga-Weather.org.